Friday, May 14, 2021
Home News Reports IIT Kanpur Professor predicts COVID-19 to peak in May, dismisses claims of Kumbh and...

IIT Kanpur Professor predicts COVID-19 to peak in May, dismisses claims of Kumbh and poll rallies being responsible for spread

If Kumbh and election rallies are responsible for the surge of the pathogen in India, then why Maharashtra and Delhi have been witnessing this kind of a surge, questioned the IIT Kanpur professor.

The second wave of Coronavirus is wreaking havoc in India. The State and central government are trying to do whatever it takes to control the resurgence. Amidst the gloomy Covid situation, IIT Kanpur Professor and Padmashree awardee Maninder Agarwal’s predictions will definately come as a breather for the people of the country.

Speaking to Hindi Daily Dainik Bhaskar, Prof Agarwal has predicted that the second wave of the infection could peak in the first week of the month of May, following which the infections may see a steep decline by the end of May.

Prof. Agrawal in the IIT’s Department of Computer Science and Engineering and the recipient of the first Infosys Prize for Mathematics and the Shanti Swarup Bhatnagar Award in Mathematical Sciences in 2003. He was involved with the national ‘super model’ initiative.

The IIT professor and his team have studied the average COVID-19 cases being reported in different states of the country in the last 7 days. By applying his mathematical model, SUTRA, to predict the trajectory of the current surge in infections, the professor said: “We will cross the peak (during April 15-20) and then there will be very a sharp drop over the next 15-20 days.”

According to his research, the coronavirus cases in Maharashtra has already peaked while in states like Uttar Pradesh, Gujarat, Delhi, Rajasthan and West Bengal, the cases might peak anytime between 20th to 30th April. He predicted that in Uttar Pradesh the number of active cases in a day might go up to 35,000. Delhi at one point may touch 30,000, West Bengal- 11,000, Rajasthan- 10,000 and Bihar might hit the 9,000 mark, predicted the professor.

“There is some uncertainty in predicting the peak value of daily new infections because of the sharp rise. Currently, it is coming to one lakh infections per day, but this can go up or down. But the timing remains the same between April 15-20,” he added.

In the interview, Manindra Agrawal spoke about the impact of the election rallies and the Kumbh event on the surging number of COVID-19 cases in the country.

Leftist media and opposition parties have been rallying behind the claims that the Kumbh Mela in Uttrakhand is the primary reason for the resurgence of the Covid cases in India. Prof. Manindra Agrawal from the Indian Institute of Technology (IIT) Kanpur has dispelled this rumour by confirming that the Kumbh or the poll rallies for that matter, might have had a little impact on the second wave of the infection in India.

Agarwal said that both these events might have added to the daily caseload but was definitely not the reason behind the second wave of infection.

The professor questioned those who were holding these events responsible for the surge of the pathogen in India, that if election rallies and Kumbh is the reason behind the rising cases, then why are Maharashtra and Delhi witnessing this kind of a surge.

The IIT Kanpur professor said that since the election rallies and the Kumbh are held in open spaces, there are few chances of it spreading the virus.

Asked about the possible explanation of the second wave, Agrawal said there were two reasons or possibly the combination of the two, that might explain what changed in February which could make it for the sharp rise. He said that it could be due to gatherings linked to the opening up of schools, colleges and other working areas where people became comparatively more careless, and the fact that there are some mutations that are spreading faster.

Leftist media houses and opposition blame Kumbh Mela for the second wave of covid in India

It becomes imperative to note here that many media houses and political opponents have blamed the 2021 Uttarakhand Kumbh event for the second wave of coronavirus in India. Mumbai mayor Kishori Pednekar had slammed the organisation of Kumbh Mela, stating that those returning from the Kumbh Mela will distribute the coronavirus as ‘prasad’. Leftist media houses like India Today and The Logical Indian had also resorted to peddling a similar lie.

Kumbh wrapped up by April 17

On Thursday (April 15), the Panchayati Niranjani Akhada had announced that the Kumbh Mela would concluded by April 17. The decision came at the backdrop of rising cases of Coronavirus in Haridwar.

It must be mentioned that the itinerary of Kumbh Mela includes 4 ‘shahi snan’ and 9 ‘Ganga snan.’ The fourth ‘shahi snan’ will be conducted on April 27. Reportedly, a total of 2,167 people were diagnosed with Coronavirus in the past 5 days.  This is despite the fact that a Covid-19 negative RT-PCR report, not more than 72 hours prior to arrival, was made mandatory for attending the festival. The turnout of devotees was also less compared to the preceding years.

  Support Us  

Whether NDTV or 'The Wire', they never have to worry about funds. In name of saving democracy, they get money from various sources. We need your support to fight them. Please contribute whatever you can afford

Related Articles

Trending now

Journalists join hands with Congress trolls to spread propaganda against BJP over Delhi High Court ordered probe by police

Journalists blame BJP after Youth Congress president Srinivas B V questioned by Delhi Police on the orders of Delhi High Court

Read how RSS volunteers turned a defunct, British-era hospital, lying unused for over 2 decades, into a 200-bed COVID-19 facility

Volunteers of the Sangh Parivar, BJP and other organisations cleaned up the defunct KGF hospital in Karnataka to handle COVID-19 crisis

Massive Eid gatherings show the futility of lockdown during the second wave of the pandemic in India, it is time to lift them now

The Muslim community across the world is celebrating Eid ul-Fitr today. With it, the holy month of Ramadan comes to an end.

‘Delhi’s govt was just complaining, not trying to handle logistics of oxygen supply’: Director of INOX

Jain said that the central government's job is to inform these manufacturers to produce a certain amount of oxygen, which they did and made a chart for each state with specific volume allocation.

Dr.Reddy’s commences rollout of Russian-made Sputnik V vaccines, to be priced at Rs 995.40 per dose

Deepak Sapra, the global head of Custom Pharma Services at Dr Reddy's Lab became the first person to receive the Sputnik V shot at Hyderabad today.

Kejriwal govt sets aside Rs 50 crores for free vaccination of Delhi residents, while spending far more on PR: Details

While AAP government in Delhi spent Rs 150 crores on PR from Jan to March, it has only allocated Rs 50 crores for the free vaccination of Delhi's 2 crore population.

Recently Popular

Narcissism at its worse: After doubts were raised on the help being provided by Sonu Sood, actor gets called out for sharing cringe self-laudatory...

After making questionable claims on helping Covid-19 victims, Sonu Sood now shares cartoons that shows him as a God

Israeli actress Gal Gadot, who once hailed ‘Shaheen Bagh dadi’, wishes for safety for Israel, gets hate from Islamists and ‘liberals’ in return

Gal Gadot's prayer for peace in her home country Israel irks up 'liberals' who even accused her of being a genocide enabler.

Charlie Hebdo cartoon mocking Hindu deities for Covid-19 crisis turns out to be fake? Here’s what we know

Some social media users pointed out the hypocrisy of these 'left-liberals', who were just a few months back attacking the same French magazine for publishing cartoons that were allegedly hurtful for Muslims.

Rihanna gets cancelled by Islamists for saying that Israeli and Palestinian lives are equal

Several social media users slammed Rihanna for her Instagram post mourning the loss of lives on both sides during Israel-Palestine conflict

Israel spy agency Mossad’s parody account pokes fun at Bollywood entertainer Swara Bhasker over her ‘#FreePalestine’ campaign

Swara Bhasker had posted a tweet calling Israel apartheid and terrorist state following the clashes at the Al Aqsa Mosque in Jerusalem
- Advertisement -


Connect with us