Thursday, August 6, 2020
Home News Reports India may have 17 lakh+ total coronavirus cases by 3rd August, with over 6.9...

India may have 17 lakh+ total coronavirus cases by 3rd August, with over 6.9 lakh active cases, says study

Tamil Nadu, Gujarat and Delhi have a higher percentage of the positive rates, implying they are not testing enough and need to increase the capacity, says Professor Shamika Ravi.

India is struggling with the increasing number of Covid-19 cases. Since unlock phase-2 started, the number of cases has spiked in several locations, especially in Maharashtra and Tamil Nadu. Experts believe that while the country is getting back to its feet and the economy is slowly restarting, the number of cases will keep rising.

According to Prof Shamika Ravi, the current growth rate in India is 3.4%. If the cases keep rising at this pace for another 20 days, we will see close to 17.8 lakh cases in total with 6.9 lakh active cases. Prof Shamika suggested that the states have to rethink and re-evaluate the containment strategies to slow down the spread of the infection.

Over 40% new cases from Maharashtra and Tamilnadu

Prof Shamika noted that 40% of the new cases come from two states Maharashtra and Tamil Nadu. The 7-day Moving Average of the new cases suggests that Karnataka and Andhra Pradesh have higher daily new cases than Delhi. It has to be noted that the situation in Delhi improved drastically after Home Minister Amit Shah stepped in and helped the AAP government control the situation. West Bengal, Uttar Pradesh, Telangana and Bihar have also recorded around 1000 new cases daily.

The average growth rate of the active cases has been persistent at 2.5% that has to be controlled. Prof Ravi said that the states must work on better containment strategies to reduce the number of new cases. The data suggest that Maharashtra’s government has not been able to adequately increase the testing and tracing efforts that are causing significant spike across the state.

The situation is no different in Telangana that was doing well for some time but now is on the verge of becoming a hotspot. Tamil Nadu, Gujarat and Delhi have a higher percentage of the positive rates, implying they are not testing enough and need to increase the capacity. Yogi Adityanath has already asked the officials to ensure the state has a daily capacity of 50,000 tests. UP has also started door-to-door medical screening.

The difference in total cases and active cases

Prof Shamika has mentioned explicitly that 17 lakh+ is the expected number of total reported cases from the date the first case was registered in India. As of now, India has recorded a total of 8,55,079 positive cases of Covid-19. 5,53,470 people have been cured and 3,01,609 are active cases that are either getting treatment at a hospital or are under home-quarantine depending on the severity of their symptoms. 23,174 people have lost their lives due to the complications associated with coronavirus. Prof Shamika’s analysis of the current situation suggests that in the next 20 days, India will add over 8 lakh positive cases, taking the total tally over 17 lakhs, with over 6.9 lakh new cases.

  Support Us  

Whether NDTV or 'The Wire', they never have to worry about funds. In name of saving democracy, they get money from various sources. We need your support to fight them. Please contribute whatever you can afford

OpIndia Staffhttps://www.opindia.com
Staff reporter at OpIndia

Trending now

Ram Mandir, a symbol of cultural continuity: Northeast India and Sanatan Dharma

After a decade long historical, political and legal dispute and with a Supreme Court intervention brought to closure in the matter of construction of Ram Mandir and, finally, Lord Rama shall get its abode to live

‘Efforts were made to eradicate Lord Ram’s existence, but it is his immense power that he continued to live in our hearts’: PM Modi’s...

PM Modi who returned to Ayodhya after 29 years, performed the Ram Mandir's Bhoomi Pujan at 12.44.08 PM on 5th August

PM Narendra Modi and the journey from Ayodhya Andolan to Ram Mandir Bhoomi Pujan: Then and now

Now and then: Journey of PM Modi from Ayodhyan Andolan to Ram Mandir

From ‘nothing new about Shilanyas’ to ‘I will not find Ram there’, Bhoomi Pujan ceremony of the Ram Mandir in Ayodhya triggers a meltdown...

The liberal intelligentsia is having a hard time digesting the fact that the dream of millions of Hindus of a Ram Mandir in Ayodhya is finally turning into a reality

‘I, Narendra Damodardas Modi, on behalf of my country and its people’: Read what the PM’s ‘Sankalpa’ at Ram Mandir Bhoomi Pujan meant

PM Modi today did the Shilanyas and Bhoomi Pujan for the proposed Ram Mandir at the Ram Janmabhoomi site in Ayodhya.

Islamists, ‘liberals’ attack cricketer Mohammad Kaif for urging haters to not spew venom over Ram Mandir in Ayodhya

Mohammad Kaif was attacked by Islamists for urging people who were spewing venom over the Bhoomi Pujan to spread the message of love and dignity instead.

Recently Popular

Here is why #BabyPenguin is trending on Twitter, and why Aaditya Thackeray is called so by some

Yuva Sena registered complaint against twitter user for calling Aaditya Thackeray "Baby Penguin" and Uddhav Thackeray "Aurangzeb"

‘Situations do not last forever’: All India Muslim Personal Law Board issues a menacing threat on the eve of Ram Mandir Bhoomi Pujan

Comparing Babri Masjid to Turkey's newly converted mosque 'Hagia Sophia', the Muslim Personal Board said, "Babri Masjid was and will always be a Masjid".

NASDAQ billboard at NYC’s Times Square not to beam Lord Ram’s image after petitions by Muslim groups

Muslims groups in New York have objetected to the plan of displaying the images of Lord Ram on the large LED screens of Times Square on Bhoomi Pujan day.

Veer Savarkar’s prophecy ‘The day Hindus unite, Congress leaders will wear janeu over the coat’ comes true as they celebrate construction of Ram Mandir

Priyanka Gandhi Vadra, Kamal Nath and Manish Tewari have posted tweets, welcoming the Bhoomi pujan ceremony and extending their support for the construction of Ram Temple in Ayodhya

Islamists, ‘liberals’ attack cricketer Mohammad Kaif for urging haters to not spew venom over Ram Mandir in Ayodhya

Mohammad Kaif was attacked by Islamists for urging people who were spewing venom over the Bhoomi Pujan to spread the message of love and dignity instead.

“Will believe in coronavirus if Amit Shah dies”: Shaheen Bagh ‘activist’ Aiman Rizwi urges Muslims to pray for his death

Rizwi also strongly believes that Coronavirus is a myth and propagated to conceal failures of Modi government.

Bengal police lathi charge Hindus for organising Ram pujas during the one-day lockdown on 5th August

Police lathi charged Hindus, pull devotees out of temples for organizing Ram Pujas on Ram Mandir Bhumi Pujan in West Bengal

The Wire shares article citing discredited ‘experts’ to falsely claim older mosques existed beneath the Babri structure, not a temple

The Wire cites 'experts' who had claimed no temple was found below Babri Masjid, but they were not present during ASI digging

Digital billboard featuring Lord Ram and Ram Mandir comes up at Times Square in New York

A large curved digital screen located at the iconic Times Square displayed the images of Lord Ram and the Ram Mandir

Ram Mandir, a symbol of cultural continuity: Northeast India and Sanatan Dharma

After a decade long historical, political and legal dispute and with a Supreme Court intervention brought to closure in the matter of construction of Ram Mandir and, finally, Lord Rama shall get its abode to live

Meet K Parasaran, the 93-year-old ‘Pitamah’ of Indian laws who had said that logical end to Ram Janmabhoomi case was his last dream

K Parasaran once said that the logical end to Ram Janmabhoomi case was his last wish before he died

NDTV refers to Ram Janmabhoomi site as ‘disputed’, quietly edits posts after social media outrage

NDTV had uploaded posts on Facebook in which it had referred to Ram Janmabhoomi site as "disputed"

Kashmiris rejects Pakistan’s anti-India propaganda as hundreds come together to celebrate the first anniversary of abrogation of Article 370

Bangus Awaam Mela was organised to commemorate the first anniversary of the Abrogation of Article 370 in the valley

Kerala nun-rape case: Supreme Court dismisses discharge plea filed by rape accused Bishop Franco Mulakkal

Bishop Franco Mulakkal to face trial in the nun-rape case after Supreme Court dismissed his petition to discharge the case against him

Kashi Vishwanath and Krishna Janmasthan temples have to be liberated too: Senior BJP leader KS Eshwarappa

KS Eshwarappa also asserted that there will be temples at both Kashi and Mathura in the near future just like Ayodhya.

Ram Mandir Bhoomi Pujan: Illustrations, sculptures and paintings of Bhagwan Ram winning the social media

Many creative, and beautiful artworks have been made by artists for the occasion of Ram Mandir Bhoomi Pujan.

Related Articles

Connect with us

239,057FansLike
422,491FollowersFollow
290,000SubscribersSubscribe