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MHA seeks report from FRRO after Bangladeshi actor campaigns for TMC

A day after Bangladeshi actor Ferdous Ahmed was seen campaigning for the TMC candidate Kanhaiya Lal Agarwal in North Dinajpur district of West Bengal, the Ministry of Home Affairs has sought a report from Foreigners Regional Registration Office(FRRO) enquiring whether Ahmed had violated any visa conditions.


Yesterday, Ferdous took part in a roadshow along with other Bengali actors in Raiganj Hemtabad, Karandighi and Islampur. The BJP, on the other hand, had alleged that this is the violation of the model code of conduct. The BJP West Bengal Unit President Dilip Ghosh said that tomorrow Mamata Banerjee could even invite Pakistan PM Imran Khan to campaign for the TMC.

“How can a foreign national (Ferdous) be allowed to campaign for political road shows in West Bengal. It is unprecedented. It seems the party doesn’t have an Indian star for campaigning. Tomorrow, Banerjee will invite Pakistan Prime Minister Imran Khan to campaign for the TMC. We condemn this as a Bangladeshi film star should not be a part of India’s biggest democratic festival”, said Ghosh.

BJP has asserted that the TMC is trying to entice the Muslim voters which are about 50% of the population in North Dinajpur.  “By engaging a Bangladeshi actor, the ruling party is trying to woo the nearly 50% Muslims voters in North Dinajpur. The Trinamool is scared of us and hence, bringing foreign actors here”, he said.

The Election Commission has said that there’s nothing mentioned in the rulebook about foreign nationals campaigning. The Additional Chief Electoral Officer Sanjay Basu said, “There is nothing mentioned in the rule book, we shall look into it if we receive any complaint.”

‘Muslims should unite and vote for Congress to decimate Modi’ : Congress leader Navjot Singh Sidhu

In an attempt to further polarise the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, Congress leader Navjot Singh Sidhu on Tuesday indulged in communal politics after he asked Muslims to unite and vote for the Congress party to remove Modi and the BJP.

According to the reports, speaking at a rally at Katihar in Bihar, Navjot Singh Sidhu stirred a massive controversy after he sought votes for Congress party candidate Tariq Anwar on the religious lines. Navjot Singh Sidhu said that the Muslims must come together and destroy the BJP with their solidarity.

“I am warning you, my Muslim brothers, you are nearly 64% of the total population here. They are dividing you by bringing people like Owaisi. They will come up with a new party to divide the Hindus and the Muslims. However, The majority community (Hindus) of the country are a minority in this constituency, if you (Muslims) unite together and vote then Modi and the BJP will be decimated,” he said.


The statements from Navjot Singh Sidhu is not very surprising as the Congress party has now taken an open stand to indulge in minority appeasement. The Congress President Rahul Gandhi has himself decided to contest from a minority dominated Wayanad Lok Sabha seat in Kerala after sensing a defeat in Amethi constituency against Union Minister Smriti Irani.

Navjot Singh Sidhu’s direct appeal to Muslims comes days after Mayawati made a similar pitch in Uttar Pradesh’s Deoband and paid with consequences as she was barred from campaigning for 48 hours by the Election Commission. The Model Code of Conduct bars candidates from seeking votes on communal or religious lines.

This is not the first time Sidhu is indulging in such controversies. Earlier, he had visited Pakistan to attend the swearing-in ceremony of close friend Imran Khan and his hug to the Pakistan army chief Qamar Bajwa stirred a massive row in India. Navjot Singh Sidhu had also caused a severe controversy after he posed with dreaded Khalistani terrorist Gopal Singh Chawla during his controversial visit to Pakistan to attend the Kartarpur corridor launch ceremony.

Rahul Gandhi is a person with ‘unlimited immaturity’, says former Congress leader S M Krishna

Former Congress leader S M Krishna today said that the Congress party President Rahul Gandhi is a person of ‘unlimited maturity’. Former external minister in the UPA cabinet led by Dr Manmohan Singh, Krishna pushed his weight behind Prime Minister Modi and urged people to come and vote for the BJP.

Taking jibes at Congress President in Bengaluru on Tuesday, Krishna said, Rahul Gandhi does not know how to handle things, especially when he is at the helm of things. Referring to the manner in which Rahul Gandhi has been handling the Rafale issue, where even the Supreme Court sent him a notice for inventing facts, Krishna said that despite holding an important position, Rahul Gandhi is handling things in a shambolic manner. “Any person holding such a high office will ruminate over a serious issue for a long time, before issuing reactions. But he does everything in a jiffy. He needs a lot of lessons in politics,” he said.

He further added that he quit the party because it ran on dynasty and not on merits. He then urged the voters to cast their votes in favour of the BJP. The former Congress leader joined the BJP in March 2017. He had said that after 46 years in Congress he left the party because of Rahul Gandhi’s interference.

The first phase of elections in Karnataka will take place on Thursday, April 18 for 14 Lok Sabha constituency. The second phase will be held on April 23 for the remaining 14 constituencies.

Muslim women’s right to enter mosques: SC issues notice to centre over Muslim couple’s petition

The Supreme Court today admitted a petition seeking permission for Muslim women to enter mosques to offer prayers.

A bench of Justices S A Bobde and S Abdul Nazeer issued a notice to the center asking it to respond to the PIL filed by a Pune-based couple.

The petition by Yasmeen Zuber Ahmad Peerzade and her husband Zuber Ahmad Nazir Ahmad Peerzade contended that “There is nothing in the Quran and the Hadith that requires gender segregation”. They added that “The act of prohibition of females from entering Mosque is void and unconstitutional as such practices are not only repugnant to the basic dignity of a woman as an individual but also violative of the fundamental rights guaranteed under Articles 14, 15, 21 and 25 of the Constitution”.

The petitioner pleaded the apex court to declare the present rule of prohibiting women from entering the mosque as illegal.

“Like men, women also have the constitutional rights to offer worship according to their belief. At present, women are allowed to offer prayers at mosques under Jamaat-e-Islami and Mujahid denominations, while they are barred from mosques under the predominant Sunni faction. It is submitted that even in the mosques where women are allowed to worship, there are separate entrances and enclosures for men and women. There should not be any gender discrimination and Muslim women should be allowed to pray in all mosques, cutting across denominations. It is submitted that there is no such gender discrimination in Mecca, the holy city”, the petition read.

Citing the apex court judgment in the Sabarimala case where the court said that “Religion cannot be used as cover to deny rights of worship to women”, the petition said women are allowed in mosques in Saudi Arabia, UAE, Egypt, US, UK, and Singapore.

They claimed there were several women affected by this but were not in a position to approach the court. The petition said, “the alleged act of prohibition of entry to mosque is a violation of the constitutional and fundamental right guaranteed under the Constitution as there cannot be any discrimination based on caste, sex, and religion”.

Meanwhile, the bench which was not satisfied with the replies by the counsel for the petitioners told the council that the Supreme Court is only willing to hear the case because of its verdict on Kerala’ Sabarimala temple. “The only reason we may hear you is because of our judgment in the Sabarimala temple case,” the bench said.

The bench also wanted to know if the protection of Article 14, that ensures equality before the law for all, also applies against individuals. The court sought to know if a mosque, temple or church can be treated as a state, adding that Article 14 refers to state action.

On September 28, 2018, the Supreme Court, in a 4:1 verdict, allowed entry of women of all ages into the Sabarimala temple in Kerala.

Four of the five judges on the bench, then Chief Justice of India Dipak Misra, Justices RF Nariman, AM Khanwilkar and DY Chandrachud ruled against the restriction on women while Justice Indu Malhotra gave a dissenting opinion.

I-T Commissioner S. K. Srivastava complains to EC against Karti and P Chidambaram for allegedly using black money to bribe voters

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Income Tax Commissioner S. K. Srivastava has written a complaint to the Election Commission (EC) for alleged subversion of the electoral process and vitiation of the election in Shivaganga constituency by Congress leader and former union minister P. Chidambaram. The IT Commissioner in his letter writes he wants to bring to the EC’s notice ‘unfettered abuse of illegitimate black money, the collusion of District Electoral Officer (DEO) cum Returning Officer (RO) and district administration and the abject failure of Election Observers in supervising the elections’.

The IT Commissioner states that the first fraud committed by the DEO cum RO in Shivaganga is the fact that on ECI and Tamil Nadu CEO website, Karti’s affidavit as a candidate for Congress mentions his father’s name as ‘Chidambaram’ and not ‘P. Chidambaram’ which was the correct name he Karti has stated in his Rajya Sabha nomination.

Page 1 of letter written by Income Tax Commissioner S. K. Srivastava
Page 2 of letter written by Income Tax Commissioner S. K. Srivastava

Labelling the DEO and RO as partisan and compromised, Srivastava has said that the officer has ignored that Karti Chidambaram has concealed that fact he is out on bail in many cases including cases relating to undeclared properties and assets. The I-T officer wrote that P Chidambaram has compromised the electoral process completely.

He also claimed that during the visit of Special Expenditure Observer of Shivganga, as many as 67 complaints were lodged alleging that P. Chidambaram had kept his illegal black money in malligai stores etc to be bribed to voters, and this matter has been hushed up by Returning Officer. The RO stated that after a visit by junior officials no such cases were noted and his officers did not consider that the complaints made to the expenditure observer should be verified, the letter stated.

Srivastava writes that the DEO cum RO officers are neither trained in the investigation of financial frauds nor they have the support base to very such frauds by ‘a hardened criminal like P. Chidambaram’, and the officer should have referred the matter to Income Tax department.

Making serious allegations against election officials of Shivganga, Srivastava writes that due to collusion of the DEO cum RO and other officers because of use of black money by PO Chidambaram, the RO had even deployed some junior officers to question the Special Expenditure Observer over the invitation of an income tax officer to a meeting.

Srivastava writes that the election process in Shivagana has got reduced to a farce by bribing voters and compromising the DEO cum RO and the district administration. He also said that if the election commission thinks that the allegations against Chidambaram should be probed, he is available for leading the same.

This is not the first time that Income Tax Commissioner S K Srivastava has written against P Chidambaram. Earlier he had written a 28-page letter giving details of corruption, immorality, and malpractices committed by Chidambaram. He had also alleged that Chidambaram had parked black money worth Rs 6700 crore in NDTV though 2G & Aircel-Maxis scams and Vasan Health Care money laundering.

Srivastava has also alleged that Income Tax officer Sumana Sharma, wife of NDTV journalist Abhisar Sharma, helped NDTV in tax evasions. It was alleged that NDTV had bribed the I-T officer, which included an all-expenses-paid trip Europe and Mauritius.

Ayodhya Dispute: Feasibility of mediation around religious conundrums

Shortly after partition and the Independence of India, in December 1949, idols of Ram and Sita appeared at the ‘Janmasthan’. The Hindus claim that this was a miracle, and proof of their claim that the place was the birthplace of Lord Rama. Contrary to this theory, the FIR recorded at Ayodhya police station on December 23 states that three individuals (Abhiram Das, Ram Shukla Das, and Sudarshan Das), along with some 50-60 people, had trespassed the mosque in order to install the idol.

In January 1950, one Gopal Singh Visharad (a member of the Hindu Mahasabha) filed a civil suit, asking for worship without obstruction and a perpetual injunction against the removal of the idols. In 1959, the Nirmohi Akhara filed a suit praying that the entire mosque be handed over to it. A suit claiming right over the mosque was filed by the Sunni Central Waqf Board in 1961. These cases have meandered through the Indian legal maze over the past five decades and are now before the Supreme Court.

On March 8, 2019, a Constitution Bench of the Supreme Court led by the Chief Justice of India, Ranjan Gogoi, directed that the batch of appeals in the Ramjanmabhoomi-Babri Masjid dispute be sent to a three-member mediation panel to explore the possibility of an amicable resolution.

The mediation proceedings, to be held in Faizabad, was expected to commence by March 15, 2019 as per the order of courtroom no. 1 of the apex court and the mediating panel headed by a former judge of the Supreme Court, Justice Fakkir Mohamed Ibrahim Kalifulla, with spiritual and humanitarian leader Sri Sri Ravi Shankar and senior advocate Sriram Panchu has been directed to send a report of the progress of the mediation within four weeks from that date.

It is interesting to note that the order directing mediation in the matter also records the objections raised by the litigants to the legality of mediation in a case which is representative in nature i.e. a case whose outcome affects not just the litigants but also those who the litigants claim to represent. This objection, perhaps, captures the essence of the “long-standing dispute”.

Mediation is not simply arriving at a negotiated consensus over a piece of land. The process involves a resolution of underlying emotions and sentiments. The land dispute in question has emotional overtones that threaten future peace if they are not resolved in a wholesome manner. Hindus must walk away with a sense that their hurts from a bygone era have been assuaged. Muslims must walk away with a sense of not having been coerced by majoritarian bullying, but having secured an equal stake in the safety of their lives, property, and places of worship. There cannot be a perceived loser, but a peaceful India must emerge as the winner as a result!

But the question at stake is the “viability” of mediation as a possible recourse in a protracted case of religious differences. On the legal side the whole recourse as a substitute sets on the requirements that give possible drift to such Alternative Dispute Resolutions. Section 89 of the CPC (Code of Civil Procedure), 1908 embodies the legislative mandate to the court to refer sub- judice disputes to various ADR mechanisms enunciated therein where it finds it appropriate to do so, in order to enable the parties to finally resolve their pending cases through well-established dispute resolution methods other than litigation.

The object behind the application of S. 89, CPC, 1908 lies in the promotion of alternative methods of dispute resolution which may be bound by any specific procedure and further resolves the dispute expeditiously.

While referring any case for the purpose of mediation, elements of settlement and acceptability to the parties are kept in concern. Court herein following the due process formulates the terms of the settlement, give them to the respective parties for their observations, record their observations and thereafter may reformulate the terms of a possible settlement and refer the same to a panel subscribing interests of sides for the alternative resolution process. If it appears to the settlement forum that the settlement of the dispute through that possible method is not in the interest of justice then it shall refer the matter once again to the court and hence cause further delay.

Despite Hindu groups opposing a negotiated settlement, the Supreme Court made it clear that an attempt should be made to settle the dispute by mediation. It overruled their objections by invoking Section 89 of CPC, 1908, arbitrarily without giving due consideration to the concern of both the side.

The viability of mediation may also be questioned on a representative basis as the issue in contention is representing larger communities and the settling forum is not inclusive of all of them. Also, locus standi of parties involved is also questionable as there is a difference in opinion regarding the construction of Mandir within the Muslim community itself.

In a two-judge bench Supreme Court judgment in Afcons infrastructure and Ors. v. Cherian Verkay Construction and Ors. [2010 (8) SCC 24], it was held that mediation cannot be done in a representative suit which involves public interest or the interest of a large number of persons who are not represented in the court.

While legally the dispute is in the nature of a conventional title dispute, nothing about the case is conventional. The case is a veritable crucible where history, religion, politics, and law meet, and in the absence of a formal institutionalised mechanism in this country for truth and reconciliation, it falls upon courts of law to determine the truth and dispense justice.

And yet, the Apex Court has directed mediation in a dispute which has a recorded legal history of 164 years at the very least and has been pending before the Supreme Court since 2010. Ironically, the Court’s approach, in this case, is in stark contrast to its approach to intervening in religious practices and traditions which have been preserved by communities and institutions for centuries, the Sabarimala judgment being a case in point.

Further, given the prolonged and convulsive history of the Ayodhya dispute through decades and the deep fissures it has caused and continues to cause because it is yet to be resolved, it would not be out of place to assume that there is an unbridgeable chasm between the litigating parties which too, is perhaps representative in nature. This means that to hope for an amicable resolution of the dispute through mediation is at best judicial optimism at work, which may not yield much particularly when this is not the first attempt at mediation in the dispute.

Secondly, there still exist chances of referring the same to the court for intermediate or final disposal by the settlement forum and more delay in justice.
It would be great if the case beforehand is redressed objectively by the highest court of the land on the basis of rigorous available evidence and civilised jurisprudence so that neither party can play the victim card and claim that it was shortchanged either by majoritarian coercion or minority appeasement, as the case may see afterward.

The matter must be decided on merits so that sustainability of the decision is maintained and respected amicably now or in the near future.

If observed from a more practical, subtle standpoint, the 4,300- page, 2:1 verdict of the three-judge Bench of the Allahabad High Court which decided the dispute in favour of the Ram Janmabhoomi has already reduced the workload of the Apex to a significant extent by performing the most burdensome and strenuous task of exercises in such disputes, namely identifying the specific issues of disagreement between the parties, receiving and examining evidence, including archaeological and historical, and fractionating the principles of law which apply to the case beforehand.

Putting plausibly, the legal silhouettes of the dispute have already been cleared out in sufficient detail by the honourable Allahabad High Court. Therefore, the Supreme Court need not reinvent the wheel and go through the process of the trial once again but has to primarily examine the High Court’s verdict for patent perversity, or gross misappreciation or non-appreciation of material evidence.

Given this limited mandate, and given the fact that all procedural formalities in the Supreme Court were nearly complete in December 2017 when the case was ripe for final arguments, there was little left to do except to commence hearings in the matter.

And then the red- herring of Ismail Faruqui v. Union of India, AIR 1995 SC 605 A, was raised by one of the parties to the case. This red- herring too was addressed in September 2018, when a three-judge Bench led by the then Honourable Chief Justice of India, J. Dipak Mishra, concluded that there was no need to refer the matter to a constitution bench since it held that Ismail Faruqui did not come in the way of adjudication of the title dispute. Therefore, as of September 2018, there were no further procedural or substantive hurdles left to the commencement of fresh hearings in the case.

Despite having arrived at the conclusion that there was no need to refer the case to a larger bench, the court then constituted a larger bench. Once again, the matter was ripe for final arguments. Now, it has been referred to mediation. Notwithstanding the hedonistic interests of some sections of the so-called Liberals at mollifying the nature of the dispute and what it represents substantially, it would be ignorant and offensive to deny that the dispute revolves around faith and dignity of faith for all the parties involved matter equally.

Keeping everything under due consideration, therefore, as self-serving as it may be, as an ardent believer in justice delivery through constitutional means, especially through courts of law, one sincerely hopes that the Apex Court does not let go of this opportunity to open a new chapter in the history of the Indian Republic by deciding the dispute one way or the other with expedition and put an end to this long- age tussle that has been one of the many reasons behind several communal discords throughout the history of India.

*Vishal Kumar is a student of Law at Campus Law Centre, University of Delhi.

JNU freelance protestor turned full-time politician retweets an old video being passed off as recent one to show BJP in bad light

Activist for hire, Shehla Rashid, who had recently shunned being a freelance protestor and took the plunge in the politics by joining the political party floated by controversial former Indian bureaucrat Shah Faesal today retweeted an old video from Surat which was being passed off as a recent one to cast the BJP government in a bad light.

An old video retweeted by Shehla Rashid

The post uploaded by a Twitter user alleged that a massive bike rally is being organised by the BJP today in Hisar Bazar area of Surat as a part of their election campaign. In the video, it can be seen that the people surrounding the bikers were visibly angry at them and tried to manhandle the bikers. The Twitter user who uploaded the video also insinuates that none of the mainstream media outlets has picked this up because it is seemingly against the BJP. Shehla Rashid retweeted the Tweet, thereby lending legitimacy to the claims made by the Twitter user.

However, the claims made by the Twitter user are entirely unfounded and baseless. The fact that no media covered it is because there was no bike rally by the BJP supporters in Surat today and the video uploaded is an old video from December 2017. In a smear campaign against the BJP, an old video from December 2017 was passed off as a recent one by people hostile to the BJP government. Shehla Rashid, who was tagged by the notorious Twitter user in his post, promptly obliged him by retweeting the tweet and being a party to the proliferation of fake news on Social Media platforms.

[youtube https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s5OR8zfSOYs]

This is not the first time that Shehla Rashid has been caught red-handed purveying fake news and rumours on Social Media platforms. An FIR was filed against Shehla Rashid recently for spreading rumours after the Pulwama attack. Before that, a complaint was filed against Shehla Rashid for posting a tweet accusing Nitin Gadkari of plotting to assassinate PM Modi. When Gadkari threatened her of legal action, she claimed the tweet was merely sarcasm and played the ‘Islamophobia’ card to get herself out of trouble.

EC serves show cause notice to ABVP for book launch in JNU claiming a violation of poll code

Returning Officer (RO), South Delhi district, Nidhi Srivastava on Saturday issued a show cause notice to the JNU unit of the ABVP for allegedly violating the Model Code of Conduct (MCC) by organizing a book launch on campus without permission, The Indian Express has reported.

The ABVP had planned to launch #ModiAgain by author Aabhas Maldahiyar and Saffron Swords by Manoshi Sinha Rawal on 15th April. The event has now been cancelled. Earlier, the Election Commission had stalled the release of PM Narendra Modi, a biopic on the Prime Minister featuring Vivek Oberoi in the lead, claiming it was a threat to a ‘level playing field’ and ‘free and fair elections’.

The same Election Commission had served a show cause notice to officials for banning the release of a book on the Rafale Deal for violation of the MCC. However, the ban was subsequently revoked and the book was released.

Meanwhile, according to the organizers, the cancellation had nothing to do with the show cause notice. Durgesh Kumar and Manish Jangid, President and General Secretary of the JNU Unit of ABVP respectively, told The Indian Express that they cancelled the event on April 12 because the authors were unavailable.

Kumar said, “We wrote to them saying it had been cancelled and that we were not aware it’s a violation.” He added, “It was an academic discussion… It wasn’t a political discussion; no leaders were called.”

Srivastava, however, said that the programme was a violation of MCC since it seemed to be advertising a particular political leader and that permission for the event had not been sought.

While the EC is busy serving show-cause notices for book launch events and stalling the release of movies, rampant polling malpractice and violence was reported in West Bengal during the first phase of the elections. The constitutional body was criticized by many for failing to secure a conducive environment for polling to occur.

A Bangladeshi actor, too, was seen recently campaigning for Trinamool. While the BJP has alleged an MCC violation and a foreign citizen actively campaigning for Trinamool on the ground does not appear entirely legal, the Election Commission continues to maintain a stoic silence on the matter.

Mumbai: Accused Akhtar Shaikh who allegedly raped the minor kept her in a Dargah and then at a friend’s place

As per a report by Swarajya, the Mumbai Police refused to add the accused Akhtar Sheikh’s name in the FIR lodged against him, for allegedly raping a minor girl in Ghatkopar, Mumbai. The Mumbai Police reportedly not only declined to mention Akhtar Sheikh’s name in the FIR but also ignored invoking the crucial POCSO (Protection of Children from Sexual Offences) Act, though this being an ideal case to qualify under the Act.

Not invoking POCSO, not invoking SC/ST Act, giving the matter to a sub-inspector when the law clearly states that such cases are to be handled by a DSP or ACP level officer and not recording the victim’s statement under Section 164 are few amongst the many lapses laid out by the Mumbai police in handling this sensitive case. The commission has asked the Mumbai police commissioner to respond in the matter.

As per Swarajya report, on 14 March, a minor girl went missing from Ghatkopar area in Mumbai. When she did not return all night, her parents approached the Ghatkopar police station the next day to file a first information report (FIR). Though the police did register the FIR but messed up the case at the very first level.

Firstly the police chose not to add the name of the accused, Akhtar Sheikh, in the FIR despite the girl’s mother naming him as a suspect repeatedly. The mother’s statement recorded in the FIR simply says that her daughter, aged 17 years, went without her will after being lured by an “unknown person”. Secondly, the police did not add the POCSO Act despite the victim being a minor.

The girl remained missing for four days.

The girl’s mother, who’s a domestic help, has alleged that the police officer who took up her case shouted at her. She even mentioned that the police officer simply ignored Sheikh’s mention.”

The officer named, sub-inspector Sheetal Kanadkhedkar is facing the fury of the National Commission for Scheduled Castes (NCSC), as the victim happens to be a Dalit Hindu.

The victim, who was found on March 19, was sent to a juvenile home, where she continues to stay till date. The mother said that she is allowed to meet her daughter once in three-four days.

“My daughter has been revealing details slowly. She told me that Akhtar Sheikh first kept her overnight in a dargah and then at a friend’s house for three days,” the girl’s mother said.

She furthered that after her daughter’s recovery when they went to the police station to ask the police for further inquiry, sub-inspector Sheetal, hushed them saying that they were trying to give the case a communal colour by making it a Hindu-Muslim issue. This time too, sub-inspector, Sheetal refused to add accused Akhtar Sheikh’s name to the FIR, confirmed the victim’s mother.

Sheikh was arrested only after 10 days on 28 March and was soon freed on bail.

The news was not picked up by any media house and came to the foreground only after a Twitter user wrote about it in a series of tweets.


The mother told Swarajya, “it’s evident that Sheikh lured the girl into going with him. What if he takes her away again after 22 April? She will be forced to give her consent and, as a major, we will have no hope of getting her back.”

A rights organisation named Agniveer took notice of the case and escalated it to the NCSC. On 15 April, the commission sent a letter to the Mumbai police pulling it up for ignoring the due process.

A local activist named Sitaram Juwatkar told Swarajya that when he learnt of the matter, he went to the police with the girl’s mother on April 2, asking for POCSO to be added in the FIR. “Sheetal simply refused. She said we shouldn’t escalate the matter now that the girl has been found,” he said.

However, this is not the first time when such biased cases, where the police have displayed callousness and such indifference in matters of kidnappings of minor girls, especially when the accused is from different religion have occurred.

Swarjya identified two such cases, one from New Delhi and one from Uttar Pradesh — where minor girls were kidnapped in a similar way but the police, in both cases, refused to add the accused’s name and POCSO ACT in the FIRs.

Tamil Nadu Lok Sabha 2019 Opinion Polls: Take them with not just a pinch but a sack full of salt

If you accept the numbers on face value, the opinion polls done by the “Political Pundits who sit in the Air Conditioning rooms” as PM Modi refers to them as, one would think that NDA is heading for a massive drubbing in Tamil Nadu. Tamil Nadu is one state where the pollsters have ended with egg on their faces more often than not and they just may add another feather to their cap in the upcoming Lok Sabha elections in this crucial state that sends fifth largest contingent of MP’s to the parliament only behind UP, Maharashtra, West Bengal & Bihar.

So, what are the latest opinion polls forecasting for the upcoming elections & let’s look at why we may need to take them with not just a pinch but a bag full of salt.

Opinion polls for 2019 Lok Sabha Elections: Tamil Nadu

Let’s begin by understanding the electoral zones and the caste demographics of the state in a little more detail. Tamil Nadu can be divided broadly into 4 different electoral zones viz. North TN, Kongu region in the west, Cauvery delta region and South TN. Contrary to what many think, each of these regions has its own set of issues, caste dynamics and over a period of time, the main regional political parties have established their own foothold in each of these regions primarily based on caste polarization.

Despite changing social configurations, the DMK continues to be a largely urban-based party with strongholds in the northern districts among organised workers, backward classes and parts of Cauvery delta region and the AIADMK, from the time of its inception, remains a distinctly rural party with a base in the south & west  among the uneducated, unorganised labour, women and Dalits. Emergence of Dravidian identity, caste based parties like PMK (vanniyars), Viduthalai Siruthaigal( Dalits) a party with dalit base have dramatically reduced the support base of both the national parties Congress & BJP barring a few pockets.

Source: The Hindu

After the demise of Kalaignar Karunanidhi & Puratchi Thalaivi Jayalalitha, virtually no single party can claim to be strong across the entire state & the alliance arithmetic takes precedence over other logical issues including governance.  As we all know, no one knows this game better than Mr Amit Shah who swung into action early this year to bring together seemingly warring parties not long ago and stitched an umbrella NDA coalition led by  CM Mr Edapadi Palaniswamy. The NDA alliance not only looks formidable arithmetically but more importantly complimenting each other in different regions. To put this in context, the NDA alliance had combined vote share exceeding 50% in 31 out of the 39 constituencies across the state in 2014 polls! 

The exact line up of the National Democratic Alliance includes BJP, ADMK, Pattali Makkal Katchi led by Ramadoss, Desiya Murpokku Dravida Kazhagam led by Captain Vijayakanth and a couple more smaller caste parties. The DMK, Congress & the left parties who have been together for a while now make up the UPA coalition led by Mr Stalin. CPI, CPM and a couple more caste parties make up the rest of the coalition. So why are the National pollsters forecasting a rout for NDA despite very strong arithmetic for the NDA? Lack of understanding of the caste dynamics, seeming double anti-incumbency for the ADMK in the state as well as the BJP in the centre & buying into the massive propaganda blaming BJP & MODI for all the ills of the state unleashed in the Tamil MSM, majority which is controlled by the DMK & the social media could be some reasons for this. 

Based on the analysis of the opinion polls conducted by Chanakya TV owned by Mr. Rangaraj Pandey & a couple more local agencies who have feet on the ground, talking to neutral analysts and applying my own logic, am presenting my view on how I see things are stacked up in TN with just over a week to go for the polls. 

So, with almost half of the seats falling in the too close to call category & well within the margin of error, the NDA, after all, may not fare as badly as its widely believed in the MSM. But this shouldn’t come as a big surprise given the huge swing needed by the UPA in 80% of the seats to beat the arithmetic. So, what are the factors in these elections that could swing the too close to call seats?

1. Top of the list has to be the “last minute” voter management which has now become institutionalized in TN elections. Given the past track record, whichever party have wider election war chest & organization support to manage the logistics can get a handsome share of the 19 too close to call seats. Given that most of the too close to call seats have strong arithmetic in favour of NDA & the fact that both ADMK & BJP are power in both state and centre respectively, NDA has a clear advantage in this factor.

2. votes that got split in 2014 between ADMK & DMK are now sure to consolidate against NDA for obvious reasons, counter consolidation of the majority communities in favour of NDA may help it convert some of the too close to call seats.

3. Several Hindu rhetoric & policies of DMK and their partners have enraged the Hindu community all over TN. There has been a widespread protest in many parts of the state over the recent utterances by the Dravida Kazhagam idealogue demeaning Lord Krishna and blatant appeasement of minority community by the DMK in their manifesto promising have only added to the anger. 

4. Tamil Nadu has been one of the two states, other one being Kerala, in the country where Mr Rahul Gandhi has been consistently leading ahead of Mr Modi in popularity votes and much of it is also because of the anti-Modi sentiment whipped up by the Tamil MSM majority of which is controlled by DMK. Even if a small fraction of the people vote for choosing a PM rather than local parties and issues, it could impact many of them too close to call seats.


5. Performance of AMMK, the rebel faction of the ADMK led by Mr TTV Dhinakaran, Makkal Nidhi Maiyam led by Kamalhaasan and Tamil nationalistic party Naam Thamizhar Katchi led by Seeman who are contesting in all of the 39 seats. Even though they won’t be able to win any seats, they are expected to get a good chunk of votes and the unknown factor is whose votes will they take away! As these parties are untested, it’s any body’s guess on how this factor may play out in each of the 19 close seats. 

Even though it’s a head to head contest in many of the seats across 39, the issues at play are multi-dimensional and the vote share difference is within the margin of error, any predictions based on howsoever scientifically done survey can be off by a long way. Tamil Nadu CM Mr Edapadi Palanisamy has surprised many including this columnist with his shrewd political management skills outmanoeuvring not just heavyweights within his party like Ms Sasikala, Dy. CM Mr O. Paneerselvam and Mr T.T.V. Dhinakaran in the internal power struggle that ensued following the demise of Ms J. Jayalalitha but also warded off attempts by Mr M.K.Stalin from DMK & the Congress ecosystem over the last two years to unseat him from the CM’s chair.

Having consolidated his position as the first among equals in ADMK, the CM has been leading from the front in the campaign and working hard to establish himself as also a leader with the mass base. Given the organizational strength of ADMK in South TN & Cauvery delta region where a majority of the too close to call seats are from, NDA, after all, may end up with much higher seats than what’s being predicted by the pollsters.