The government forecasts 7.4% GDP growth for FY26, slightly above RBI’s estimate and FY25’s 7.3%, signaling resilience against US tariffs up to 50%. November exports jumped 20% to $38.13 billion, with 22% gains to the US and 90% to China. Private consumption rises 7%, manufacturing 7%, and investments strengthen, narrowing the trade deficit.
India strongly opposes Mexico's sudden tariff hikes up to 50% on 1,463 products from non-FTA countries like India. While pursuing talks with officials like Commerce Secretary Rajesh Agrawal, India warns of protective steps to shield exporters amid USMCA-linked pressures.
Three US House reps introduced a resolution to end Trump's 50% tariffs on India, calling them illegal under IEEPA. Triggered by Russian oil buys, the duties hurt workers and ties. It follows a Senate move on Brazil tariffs.
"The United States uses economic power, including in the form of threats of high tariffs, to enforce its will and no longer excludes the use of military force even against allies," noted Danish Defence Intelligence Service
Several Indian sectors that earlier depended heavily on the American market are now quickly redirecting their products to other regions. Items like shrimps, gems and jewellery, auto components, and electrical machinery have found many buyers in Asian and European countries.