Home Cricket World Cup 2019 Cricket World Cup semi final scenario: The fight for the 4th place

Cricket World Cup semi final scenario: The fight for the 4th place

The minimum points required to qualify for the first three positions is 11. Both India and New Zealand have 11 points already.

Australia has already qualified for the semi-final with 14 points in their eight games. India and New Zealand are almost sure to qualify with 11 points each even if they lose all remaining games in the tournament.

How? Let’s first look at the Points table.

TeamsMatWonLostNRPointsNRR
Australia8710141.000
India6501111.160
New Zealand8521110.572
Pakistan84319-0.792
England743081.051
Bangladesh73317-0.133
Sri Lanka72326-1.186
South Africa82515-0.080
West Indies71513-0.320
Afghanistan80800-1.418

The minimum points required to qualify for the first three positions is 11. Both India and New Zealand have 11 points already.

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INDIA

So even if India loses its next three games, they will still qualify because of their superior run rate.

NEW ZEALAND

New Zealand will also qualify if they lose the last game against England because of their high run rate. Even if they lose it by a considerable margin, their run rate will not go beyond 0.

ENGLAND

If they have to qualify, they have to win at least one game. They have 8 points before India’s game, now if they win both the games, they will have 12 points and will qualify with Australia, India and New Zealand. However, if they lose one of the matches, their fortunes will depend on India-Bangladesh and Bangladesh-Pakistan. To qualify they would need Bangladesh to lose against India and Pakistan to lose against Bangladesh. Also if Sri Lanka (6 points) win their next two games against West Indies and India, they will not qualify as England will have five wins, while Sri Lanka would have only 4 (2 points for washout).

PAKISTAN

After their win against Afghanistan, they are placed at number 4 in the points table with 9 points. They would want England to lose at least one game so that England has a maximum of 10 points and then Pakistan beat Bangladesh in their last group match. With 11 points they will qualify. Pakistan v Bangladesh will virtually become a quarter-final.

BANGLADESH

They have to win both games against India and Pakistan to reach 11 points. If England loses both the matches against India and New Zealand, then Bangladesh needs to win at least one against either India or Pakistan. With 9 points they will qualify with a better run rate. Of course, at the same time, they have to pray that Sri Lanka loses at least one game against India or West Indies.

SRI LANKA

They have to hope for England to lose both the games and then India needs to beat Bangladesh, and Bangladesh needs to beat Pakistan, in that scenario both Bangladesh and Pakistan will have 9 points, and if Sri Lanka win their last two matches against West Indies and India, they will have 10 points, and they will qualify.

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