Tuesday, June 15, 2021
Home Politics Why Arvind Kejriwal is going crazy over Punjab results? Reasons lie in numbers

Why Arvind Kejriwal is going crazy over Punjab results? Reasons lie in numbers

Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) had claimed that it was going to form governments in Goa and Punjab, but the party lost in both the states. In Goa, it was decimated as it got only 6.3% of popular votes, which is less than what independents got in the coastal state, while in Punjab, it got 23.7% of popular votes coming second after Congress.

Going by these numbers, AAP should have been more worried about Goa, but in today’s press conference, party supremo Arvind Kejriwal focused almost entirely on Punjab, claiming that EVMs (Electronic Voting Machines) were tampered with to make AAP the loser.

One wonders why a 6.3% vote share in Goa doesn’t make Kejriwal go crazy but a 23.7% share in Punjab makes him come up with crazy conspiracy theories. After all, 23.7% is pretty healthy vote share in a triangular contest.

The answer lies in details.

Consider these data points from Punjab assembly election results, which shows that even though AAP will be the main opposition party in the assembly, it is not exactly the runner-up:

  • Akali Dal contested on 94 seats compared to 112 by AAP and still got 1.5% higher vote share than AAP. AAP got a vote share of 23.7 % while Akali Dal got a vote share of 25.2%. So even though AAP is number two in terms of seats won, it is number three in terms of vote share.
  • Akali Dal & BJP combined got 30.6% vote share, which is 5.7% more than alliance of AAP & LIP that got 24.9% vote share. Falling behind a rather unpopular ruling alliance is not something AAP can be happy with.
  • Akali Dal & BJP combine came 1st/2nd in 80 out of 117 seats (strike rate of 68.3%) while AAP & LIP managed to get 1st/2nd position in 48/117 seats (strike rate of 41%).
  • On 23 seats that BJP contested, it has more than double the vote share of AAP.
  • On 23 seats that BJP contested, AAP alliance won zero seats. AAP got 3rd position in 20 seats, 4th position in 1 and managed to be at 2nd position in 2 seats.
  • Essentially, when pitted against the BJP, AAP fails to be the winner. This is similar to what had happened during the 2014 general elections, when all the seats AAP won in Punjab was against Akali Dal.
  • AAP’s vote share reduced to 23.7% from 24.4% it had captured in General elections 2014, and the assembly wins reduced to 20 from 33.

While the above data points prove that AAP is not really the runner-up in the assembly elections, other data points prove that it is not the favoured party for many.

Consider this: BJP lost the maximum vote share percentage compared to 2014, a decline of 3.3% which clearly has gone to the Congress party that saw a vote share increase of 5.4%. Akali Dal vote share declined only by 1.1% compared to General elections 2014.

What does it show? That due to AAP’s flirting with Khalistani elements, most BJP voters perhaps thought it wiser to support Congress than to vote for a losing alliance and allow AAP to win.

Not only that, if one looks further at details, it seems that even Akali Dal and its much maligned leaders had not lost support despite an all out attack by AAP and Kejriwal.

Throughout the campaign, AAP leaders tried their best to provoke Akalis by getting personal. AAP ran a personal campaign against Badals. Bhagwant Mann even did pathetic mimicry of Badal’s daughter-in-law & Union Minister Harsimrat Badal. Kejriwal even went to the extent of saying that he will drag Majithia by collar to jail. Now look what happened:

  • Prakash Singh Badal won the Lambi Constituency defeating Congress CM candidate Amarinder Singh by 22,770 votes. His victory margin is more than the votes AAP candidate Jarnail Singh got.
  • Sukhir Singh Badal won the Jalalabad constituency by 18500 votes defeating one of AAP’s probable CM candidate and sitting MP Bhagwant Mann.
  • Bikram Singh Majithia won Majitha constituency by 22884 votes. His win margin was double the votes secured by AAP’s Himmat Singh Shergill.

So this is what the party could manage after AAP virtually made Punjab assembly elections a referendum on Kejriwal’s popularity. Remember Deputy Chief Minister of Delhi Manish Sisodia had asked the Punjab voters to vote as if they were voting to make Arvind Kejriwal the Chief Minister of Punjab.

AAP doesn’t want the debate and analysis of Punjab results to touch upon these issues. To stop debates like “Does Punjab assembly results prove that personal charisma or goodwill of Kejriwal is on the wane?” they started the debate “Can one trust the EVMs?

Kejriwal’s extreme position in today’s press conference makes sure that its supporters don’t see these details and remain busy with the EVM tampering conspiracy theories. It is a well calculated step to keep the supporters engaged and to deflect criticism of Kejriwal’s brand of politics.

  Support Us  

Whether NDTV or 'The Wire', they never have to worry about funds. In name of saving democracy, they get money from various sources. We need your support to fight them. Please contribute whatever you can afford

Ashish Tickoo
A Kashmiri Pandit in Exile -Born Kashmiri, Brought up Dogra.

Related Articles

Trending now

Swami Avdheshanand Giri condemns misinformation over Ram Mandir transactions, Trust Gen Sec too rebuts accusations: Here’s what they said

Swami Avdheshanand Giri has issued a statement assuring that Ram Mandir transactions are authentic and transparent.

BBC apologises for its coverage of footballer Eriksen’s collapse, it is time they apologise for their grotesque reportage on India’s Covid outbreak too

The western media outlets, including BBC, ought to apologise India for perpetrating racism with their egregious coverage of country's COVID-19 pandemic and linking it with morbid images of burning funeral pyres.

Rahul Gandhi joins in spreading lies about a ‘scam’ by Ram Mandir trust: Here are the facts in 10 simple points

On the 13th of June 2021, Aam Aadmi Party took to Twitter to level grave allegations against the Ram Janmabhoomi Teerth Kshetra.

Islamic NGO with possible terror links raised almost 150 crores to ‘Help India Breath’ amid pandemic, little of it was actually sent

Dubious NGOs with links to terrorist organizations and Pakistani army collected funds on the name of relief to India amid Covid pandemic

Here is the truth about the land deal by Ram Janmabhoomi Teerth Kshetra and how the allegations by likes of AAP are baseless

Shri Ram Janmabhoomi Teerth Kshetra and its head Champat Rai bought an additional piece of land for the purposes of additional construction to facilitate pilgrims who would be travelling to Ayodhya

Recently Popular

Here is the truth about the land deal by Ram Janmabhoomi Teerth Kshetra and how the allegations by likes of AAP are baseless

Shri Ram Janmabhoomi Teerth Kshetra and its head Champat Rai bought an additional piece of land for the purposes of additional construction to facilitate pilgrims who would be travelling to Ayodhya

Kamal R Khan calls Mika Singh ‘anpadh gawar sooar’ after the singer released a diss track titled ‘KRK Kutta’: Here is how the feud...

The feud between KRK and Mika Singh descends to calling each other ‘dogs’ and ‘pigs’, here how it unfolded

Young billionaire Nikhil Kamath’s account closed by Chess.com as he admits cheating in charity game to defeat Vishwanathan Anand

Nikhil Kamath created quite the flutter recently after he apparently defeated Vishwanathan Anand in a game of chess.

Rohingyas settled all over UP with forged Aadhaar, voter IDs, fresh arrests reveal they are getting financial aid too: Report

ADG informed that the Rohingyas have settled in every assembly constituency with forged voter ID cards.

Vishwanathan Anand expresses disappointment after Indian billionaire admits to cheating to defeat him: Here’s what he said

Vishwanathan Anand has issued a statement after Nikhil Kamath cheated to win a game against him at a charity event.

60-year-old woman gang-raped in front of her grandson: More horror stories emerge from Bengal as women speak up in SC

Women in West Bengal have moved the Supreme Court narrating the details of the horrifying gang-rapes they were subjected to in the post-poll violence by the members of ruling party.
- Advertisement -

 

Connect with us

255,564FansLike
553,158FollowersFollow
24,300SubscribersSubscribe