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With Muslims, Jatavs rallying behind Opposition, BJP set to lose Kairana : Jan Ki Baat survey

After 10 accurate predictions in the past, the latest one being Karnataka, Jan Ki Baat is back with its predictions for upcoming elections in Kairana. According to estimates made by Jan Ki Baat regarding Lok Sabha by-election, RLD is expected to emerge as winners in Kairana in BJP-ruled Uttar Pradesh. In Kairana all the oppositions seem to be uniting against BJP, which might not be good news for the BJP.

Jan Ki Baat claims to conduct ground research on the basis of public opinion, ground reporting, and ‘fact analysis’. Their recent assertions of Karnataka elections had hit the bull’s eye.


In its report, Jan Ki Baat has discussed a few reasons, which might be the important takeaways from Kairana. It talks about Muslim vote share rallying behind the united opposition. Along with them, more than 50% Jats supporting the RLD, because of Ajit Singh campaigning and visiting each household personally. The Jatavs among Dalits too, are supporting the opposition, core reason behind them supporting them being:

  • Mayawati, hailing from a humble Jatav background has always got the support of the backward classes.
  • Bhim Army impact on youth.
  • The limited level of insecurities thriving within them.

The few other reasons Jan Ki Baat emphasizes on are:

Core voters of BJP – Saini, Brahman, Baniya, Kashyap – have not voted in large numbers. Voting was delayed after the dysfunction of EVM, and this discouraged the core supporters to come back and vote in the sultry weather compared to Muslim voters.

Another important reason for less than expected BJP votes might be the discontent among the people as the vidhva (widow) pension and vriddha (elderly) pension has been stopped. While improvement in law and order and women security is accepted by people across caste and religion, the issue of sugarcane farmers not receiving payment on time could hurt the ruling BJP.

2019 in Uttar Pradesh will be how the other castes consolidate with BJP. BJP needs to have a vote share of 50% to repeat its performance of 2014.

The graph below shows the number analysis from the ground by Jan Ki Baat. The chart shows the population break up of the area :

Total voters voting in Kairana are 10.6 lakh approximately (taking into account the turnout post 5 pm) from which, community wise votes are estimated by Jan Ki Baat as follows:

Muslim voters average: (4,00,000)

RLD: (90%) – 3,60,000

BJP: (10%) – 40,000

Jat voters: (96,000)

RLD: (60%) – 57,400

BJP: (40%) – 38,600

SC :

1. Jatav voters: (1,05,000)

RLD: (80%) – 84,000

BJP: (20%) – 21,000

2. non Jatav voters: (58,500)

RLD: (40%) – 23,400

BJP:  (60%) – 35,100

Gurjar voters: (98,000)

RLD: (5%) – 5,000

BJP: (95%) – 93,000

Saini total: (60,000)

RLD: (8%) – 6,000

BJP: (92%) – 54,000

Brahmin-Baniya: (60,000)

BJP: (95%) – 57,000

RLD: (5%) – 3,000

OTHERS: (50,000)

BJP: (90%) – 45,000

RLD: (10%) – 5,000

THAKUR: (24,500)

BJP: (98%) – 24,000

RLD: (2%) – 500

Kashyap: (1,20,000)

RLD: (10%) – 20,000

BJP: (90%) – 1,00,000

Total (average):

RLD: 5.56 L

BJP: 5.2 L

The Jan Ki Baat estimates keep approximately 20-25 thousand buffer votes.

BJP slams Kumaraswamy’s ‘indebted to congress’ statement

Reacting to the comment made by Karnataka Chief Minister H.D. Kumaraswamy on his allegiance to the Congress party and not the people of Karnataka, the union minister D.V. Sadananda Gowda took to Twitter to ask the chief minister if his debt to the Congress would take precedence over the interest of the people of Karnataka.


The Karnataka BJP also reacted to the minister’s comments by stating that Kumaraswamy does not give two hoots about the 6 crore people of Karnataka. The state BJP unit felt that no democratically elected leader could have stooped lower in deriding the people whom he represents than Kumaraswamy. Karnataka BJP added, “One can only imagine the kind of loot he will preside to impress his Congress bosses”.

Kumaraswamy earlier has stated that his government is not an independent one and despite asking for a clear mandate from the people which would bar any possible outside pressure but from the people, it has not been so. He went on stating how he is at the mercy of the Congress and its directives, which he felt is much more important than the 6.5 crore people of Karnataka.

BJP MP Rajeev Chandrasekhar also took to the micro-blogging site and called it ‘worst kind of Congress politics’.


BJP’s chief Ministerial candidate B.S Yeddyurappa also asked for Kumaraswamy’s apology, “I want to remind him that he took oath as the Chief Minister to serve the people of Karnataka, not Congress party. He cannot work as the CM of Congress party. It is clear that Kumaraswamy is at the mercy of Congress.”

Hyderabad : Transgender lynched by mob over rumours of child lifting, was in city for alms on Ramzan

A transgender person who came to Hyderabad to earn some money during Ramzan was lynched by a mob after he was mistaken to be a child lifter. The 52-year old transgender died after being thrashed by a mob of 500 locals on Saturday night under Chandrayanagutta police limit.

“A transgender, who was beaten by a mob over rumours of a child-lifting gang on WhatsApp, succumbed to injuries yesterday (Sunday). 15 people were arrested,” said Anjani Kumar, Commissioner of Police. Chandrayangutta inspector, Prakash Reddy, said on Monday, “Chandraiah, a native of Mahabubnagar district, who was among the injured people, died undergoing treatment in the early hours of today. Based on video footage of the incident around 35 persons have been taken into custody.”

A statement from CP Hyderabad read, “These days social media platforms like Whatsapp, Facebook and Twitter are being used to spread fake news. All such messages are only rumours. If someone sends such news please do not share with anyone and validate with the police. If anyone finds suspicions, tell the police by dialling 100 or inform through Hawkeye, Facebook and Whatsapp. Do not take the law into your own hands. We will take serious legal action against you. Please do not believe in rumours, do not campaign and do not force the innocents.” The Hyderabad Police, in a statement on Twitter, has also urged citizens to not believe fake viral messages on social media and urged them to contact the Police in case they have suspicions regarding an individual instead of taking law into their own hands.


A police officer claimed that the mob did not spare even the police and one constable suffered minor injuries while a patrolling vehicle was damaged. “We immediately rushed to the spot to control the mob and rescue the victims. However, the enraged men started attacking the police with stones,” said the police officer.

On Saturday, the Pahadishareef Police had arrested 8 people, including 6 women, for spreading a video which depicted the murder of an individual. The viral clip asked people to stay on alert ad gangs from Tamil Nadu and Sri Lanka was on the hunt. Pahadishareef Inspector, P Laxmikanth Reddy, said, “We were able to catch eight people including six women for spreading the false video that created panic among the public. We are now finding the person who added an audio note to the video that the incident of lynching happened in Pahadishareef.”

Two other people, including a transgender, were also injured by the mob. The Police have registered a case under section 147 (Punishment for rioting), 148 (Rioting, armed with deadly weapon), 302 (murder) and 307 (Attempt to murder) of the IPC.

Dalit Christian man murdered allegedly by kin of upper caste Christian wife’s family in a case of suspected honour killing

Kevin P Joseph, a Dalit Christian, was allegedly murdered by the kin of his wife who belonged to an upper caste Christian family in a suspected case of honour killing. Merely hours after their court marriage, Kevin was abducted from his home by an armed gang on Saturday night.

“On Sunday around 1 am, a gang of armed men entered his house, wreaked havoc and kidnapped Kevin and his friend Aneesh (30). According to his wife Neenu’s complaint, her brother and others are involved in the abduction. Kevin is a Dalit Christian and the girl’s father is a Christian, while her mother is a Muslim. Her brother has opposed the wedding. Police have taken into custody one accused in the abduction and have also seized an Innova used by the gang,” an officer at the Gandhinagar station, where Neenu Chacko, Kevin’s wife, filed a missing complaint on Sunday, said.

The Police, thus far, have identified 10 accused including the brother of Neenu and detained 2 DYFI members, Ishal and Niyas, in connection with the incident. Niyas is reportedly the unit secretary of DYFI in Thenmala. The Superintendent of Police, Kottayam, Mohammad Rafique, was transferred for not acting on the missing complaint filed by the victim on Sunday. Sub-Inspector MS Shibu and the ASI have also been suspended. According to the girl’s complaint, the police cited lack of personnel due to Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan’s visit for initially refusing to take any action. Kerala Human Rights Commission have stated that the murder is suspected to be a case of honour killing and demanded that the Police chief submit a report within 3 weeks if there was any negligence on the part of the Police while investigating the case.

The Congress and the Bharatiya Janata Party have called for a day-long hartal at Kottayam on Tuesday. “It is a brutal murder. His life should have been saved if the police acted swiftly. It is shame police personnel were deployed for the CM security,” said the leader of Opposition, Ramesh Chennithala, from the Congress party.

Contrary to popular belief, casteism is rampant among the Christian community in India. Dalits have separate burial spaces in many places. Reports had emerged in 2008 that a thousand Dalit Christians had reconverted to Hinduism after clashes between Dalit Catholics and Christian Catholics.

In a book on 2G scam, Salman Khurshid accuses Arvind Kejriwal of keeping national capital on ransom

Former union minister Salman Khurshid, in an attempt to explain the politics behind the 2G spectrum case, has written a book ‘Spectrum Politics: Unveiling the Defence’ where he has slammed Delhi Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal for launching a false and malicious campaign against former Delhi Chief Minister Sheila Dikshit to gain power in 2013.

Accusing Kejriwal of having kept the ‘national capital on ransom’, Khurshid has written in his book, ‘Ably assisted by Anna Hazare, who came, fasted and conquered, the former IRS civil servant converted the long-debated Lokpal into a battle cry for anarchy, but virtually destroyed the ability of the Congress party, itself born as a mass movement, to deal with crowds possessed by the cause of eradicating corruption from our daily lives. The deluge of cynicism and false salvation combined in a fatal mix to sweep away Dikshit despite a remarkable record of growth of services in Delhi.’ He further said that the anti corruption protests which began in 2011, affected the image of the then Prime Minister Dr. Manmohan Singh, who had a ‘clean image’. He further said that, ‘Kejriwal became the oracle who wielded a brush that relentlessly and mercilessly tarred many a reputation, starting with the unimpeachable and noble PM Manmohan Singh.’

The book comes not too long after a Delhi court acquitted former telecom minister A Raja, and DMK Rajya Sabha member Kanimozhi and other accused in the 2G spectrum case. The ED has moved the court against their acquittal. The book also gives interesting insight into UPA government’s engagement and relations with the judiciary. “One could sense the obvious tension between wizened politicians and the judiciary. And yet this was the time that my relations with successive chief justices were excellent. Far from the NDA government’s indefinite procrastination of the Supreme Court Collegium’s recommendations, I used to get the lists cleared right away,” he has written.

Sunanda Pushkar’s emails are being treated as ‘dying declaration’, Delhi Police informs Court

Sunanda Pushkar wrote in an email to her husband that she had no desire to live. According to reports, the additional public prosecutor Atul Srivastava yesterday argued before the Delhi Metropolitan Court that 9 days prior to her death, Sunanda Pushkar had written to Shashi Tharoor, “I don’t care about the tests. I have no desire to live. All I pray is death.”


The Delhi police have charged Shashi Tharoor with abetment to suicide in his wife Sunanda Pushkar’s death case. Yesterday the APP on behalf of the Delhi Police the APP reportedly informed the court that Sunanda’s emails and social media posts are being taken as a dying declaration. Hearing the matter, Additional Chief Metropolitan Magistrate Samar Vishal set the next date as June 5th for deciding on whether to take cognizance of the Charge sheet. The Delhi Police also reportedly requested the court to consider the case under section 113 (A) of the IPC.

Ishkaran Bhandari, one of the lawyers working with Subramanian Swamy who petitioned the courts to reopen the case has stated that the case might mean trouble for Shashi Tharoor because the police have confirmed Sunanda’s death was due to poisoning and her death occurred within 7 years of her marriage to Shashi Tharoor.


Shashi Tharoor has also been charged with section 498A (husband or his relatives subjecting a woman to cruelty)  along with section 306 (abetment to suicide). According to reports, the APP also informed the court that 27 Alprax tablets were found in her room but there is no clarity on how many she consumed. In the nearly 3000-page charge sheet, the Delhi Police has also reportedly named the couple’s domestic help Narayan Singh as a key witness. The police reportedly argued that Sunanda was subjected to mental and physical cruelty.

Sunanda Pushkar was found dead in her hotel room on January 17, 2014. MP and legal activist Subramanian Swamy had requested for a court-monitored probe by multidisciplinary special investigations team. The Delhi police had been earlier criticised by High Court for delays in the investigations.

Kejriwal apologised in defamation cases as he was told he would surely go to jail : Kumar Vishvas

Rebel AAP leader Kumar Vishvas on Monday sent a poetic apology letter to BJP leader Arun Jaitley, to try and make him withdraw the defamation case filed by the latter. Vishvas was successful in his endeavour as Jaitley accepted the apology as a result of which the case was deposed off by the Delhi High Court.

This though might not be the biggest highlight in this matter, as in the said apology letter Vishvas has sensationally claimed that Kejriwal apologised in defamation cases after he was told that he would surely go to jail if his allegations were proven to be false.

In the said letter Vishvas is seen claiming that despite being warned against making allegations without any legal basis for winning elections, Kejriwal continued to hurl his allegations  as if they were the gospel truth.

But as per Vishvas when the defamation cases started getting heard by the courts on a day-to-day basis, Kejriwal was told by legal experts that he would surely be jailed if his allegations are proven false.

Thus Vishvas claimed that, even if he was jailed for a few days in the scores of defamation cases, he would have to relinquish his Delhi Chief Minister post. Hence as claimed, Kejriwal felt that if he indeed was jailed, he would have to hand over the CM seat to his deputy Manish Sisodia. The letter further alleged that if it happened, Sisodia won’t hand the CM seat back to Kejriwal when the latter got out of jail.

Thus Vishvas claims that Kejriwal first tried to compromise with the plaintiffs and when that didn’t work out, started to send written apologies.

Besides this explosive claim, amongst various other things Kejriwal was called a coward and a liar by Vishvas, who lamented how so many party workers carried out protests by believing Kejriwal’s allegations.

Vishvas also accused Kejriwal of not cooperating with his lawyer in the matter, by refusing to give them the case papers, or divulge the names of the individuals who provided Kejriwal the said “proofs” he used to attack various politicians. He also thus question as to who those individuals were, who supplied Kejriwal with the evidence to enable his mud-slinging.

It might be interesting to note hear that Vishvas and Kejriwal haven’t seen eye-to-eye for a long time. This includes visible soreness in the form of Vishvas calling the Delhi CM a habitual liar and had also exposed the AAP supremo on the matter of the surgical strikes.

Suvarna News, Kannada Prabha, Dainik Bhaskar get stay order barring Cobrapost from airing the sting

The recent so-called sting operation by Cobrapost released under the title Operation 136 has been already called out for its malicious and selective portrayal of media houses and even the corporate house PayTM. Now the other media houses that have been targeted by the so-called ‘sting’ video have reacted and denied the allegations made by Cobrapost videos.

Leftist propaganda website The Wire had targeted BJP MP Rajiv Chandrasekhar. They claimed that he is the CEO of the media group that owns the news outlets. The truth is, however, that Rajiv Chandrasekhar is the Founder and Non-executive Chairman of JC which invested in Asianet that owns Suvarna News.

Media groups Suvarna News and Kannada Prabha, whose officials were targeted in the video and were shown as agreeing to run paid content, have reacted to the video and denied the allegations. They have also got a court order barring the videos from being shared. The court order was passed on 25 May 2018.

The officials of Suvarna News and Kannada Prabha have revealed that their conversations in the video were rampantly edited and selective portions have been shown. They have also stated that the Cobrapost sting has been shared against court orders.

On the same day, Bhaskar group also got an ex parte injunction from Delhi High Court restraining Cobrapost from airing the sting operation.

During the hearing on Thursday, Senior Advocate Neeraj Kishan Kaul, appearing for Dainik Bhaskar Corporation, argued that the entire object of the defendants (Cobrapost) is to sully the reputation of Dainik Bhaskar Group. He also contended that in in the e-mail dated May 10 sent to the plaintiff by the defendants, there is a whiff/scent of the endeavour of defendants to arm-twist the plaintiffs for the illegal benefit.

The video on PayTM Vice President had several loopholes and was criticised for its misrepresentation. In a recent development, Economic Times has pulled down their article on the Cobrapost sting on PayTM. Times of India has also called out the Cobrapost allegations and termed it as based on doctored content and falsification. It is notable here that the self-proclaimed journalist Pushp Sharma, who had posed as Acharya Atal had himself been arrested for fabrications and extortion.

How Congress has historically abused Article 356 to subvert democracy

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When it comes to subverting democracy and exploiting constitutional loopholes, the Congress party has a history which is unmatched by any other political party in Independent India. If one looks at the number of times article 356 has been imposed by one prime minister, three out of the first four are the Congress-led central governments. Indira Gandhi imposed the article more than anyone else. It was imposed 50 times upon states. Manmohan Singh and Narashima Rao come a distant fourth and fifth with 12 and 11 number of times Article 356 was imposed respectively. Moraji Desai takes the third position with 15 times the article imposed. Here are a few instances of how The Congress abused the constitution for political gains –

Kerala, 1959

The Government was dismissed despite Communist Chief Minister EMS Namboodiripad enjoying majority support in the state assembly. In 1957, Communist Party of India won the state elections by a slim margin making it the first communist government in the country. Soon after assuming power the communists introduced an education bill, which pushed for better wages and better working conditions for teachers in private school and colleges. This brought the wrath of a section of Christians who owned much of the schools in the state.

The research paper on Shodhganga says :

“The Deepika, the Catholic daily served a severe warning to the government against any attempt to touch the delicate field of education.4 Then onwards the Catholic daily was making a gradual but concerted attempt to create a strong public opinion against any possible innovations by the government in the field of education. The Episcopal conference also issued a joint statement in which the church leaders served a warning to the government that if it embarked upon its proposed project for curtailing the rights of the school management, the church has no choice but to resist such moves tooth and nail and the government would have to suffer the consequences”.

The State Secretary of the Communist party M.N.Govindan Nair declared at Trichur that, “the trouble in the State was deliberate creation and the result of a conspiracy of the Imperialists, Congress and the Catholic Church, to sabotage the progressive government of the working class”.

Congress utilized this disgruntlement and started agitation throughout the state which turned violent and Nehru sensing the opportunity imposed President’s rule on the state in July 1959. The democratically elected government with the clear majority was dismissed.

Orissa, 1980

In one of the most bizarre instances of subversion of Democracy, the then Chief Minister of Odisha, Nilomani Routray’s government was ousted from power, Nilomani Routay of Janata party became the Chief Minister on 26th June of 1977. Chintamani Panigrahi, Leader of the Congress legislature party became the leader of the opposition. The Congress went through a split in 1978 with the party being divided into Indian National Congress (I) and Congress (U). The Janata party split into four groups in the year 1979 due to regional disputes about who will lead the party. Nobody moved any vote of confidence against the faction of the Janata Party, which was renamed by that name Lok Dal legislature party but despite that the governor Bhagwat Dayal Sharma dissolved the assembly and put the state under Presidential rule though Janta party had the numbers despite being fractured, all factions supported the current government. After this in the next election, Congress (I) swept the state winning 118 out of 147 Assembly constituencies.

Andhra, 1954

After the creation of the State Andhra on the basis of linguistics, a Congress government headed by T.Praksam (Congress) was sworn in on October 6, 1953. After a series of defections from the ruling party, the government failed to pass the confidence test of the house and was forced to resign through a no-confidence motion on the issues of prohibition. The governor, Trivedi without any consultation or deliberation with other stakeholders came to a conclusion that there is no possibility of a stable government and hence imposed President’s rule on November 15, 1954.  According to the rules, Mr Trivedi could at least have given the chance to the opposition parties – PSP and communist Parties to form the government just like Governor Dhavan Dhavan gave the communists in Bengal a chance to prove their majority in Bengal assembly.

Karnataka, 1989

Janata Dal Chief Minister, S.R. Bommai headed one of the two governments of Janata Dal that ruled Karnataka from 1985 to 1989. Ramakrishna Hegde government, the government (JD) which preceded S.R. Bommai government was ousted from power after the then governor A.N. Banerjee recommended a presidential rule. After that Janata Dal once again came back to power with Bommai as the Chief Minister. The Bommai government was again reduced to a minority in 1989 following which Governor A.N.Banerjee once again dismissed the government.

The Governor’s decision to not give a chance to the incumbent Chief Minister to prove his numbers through a floor test was challenged in the Supreme Court. The Supreme Court gave a Judgement stating that no chief minister can be dismissed without giving him or her, the opportunity to hold a floor test.

India Today commenting upon the inglorious display of infringement of states in a federal system wrote –

”The way the Janata Dal was dismissed, was yet another striking instance of a governor usurping the powers of the legislation”

Uttar Pradesh, 1998

In 1996 elections, the BJP secured around 174 seats, falling 39 short for the desired majority. Following which, the U.P state assembly was in kept in suspended animation and President’s rule was imposed subsequently. In 1997 BJP made an arrangement with Mayawati’s BSP which had 67 MLA’s. The terms of the agreement were that each party’s CM will rule the state in rotation lasting 6 months per rotation. Mayawati after her 6 months as chief minister accused Kalyan Singh of revoking orders issued by her in the interest of Dalits withdrew its support.

BJP responded by breaking BSP and Congress, Janatantrik BSP headed by Chaudhary Narendra Singh and Loktantrik Congress headed by Naresh Agarwal to lend their support to BJP. On February 21, 1998, while Lok Sabha elections were going on the then Governor Romesh Bhandari dismissed Singh’s government and swore in Congress’s Jagdambika Pal in his place.

Kalyan Singh challenged the decision in High Court and High Court reinstated him back to his position.

In addition to the aforementioned instances, after assuming power in 1980 Indira Gandhi imposed a presidential rule on non-congress ruled states of Punjab, Rajasthan, Orissa, Madhya Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Tamil Nadu, Maharashtra, and Gujrat. Indian democracy has died a humiliating death at the hands of the Congress many times, recently these instances are on the fall but it would be wrong to suppose that the people have forgotten the marred past of Congress and its democratic principles.

When Rajdeep Sardesai experienced first-hand the abuse Right Wingers get for their views

Controversial journalist Rajdeep Sardesai who is known to be an adversary of the Right Wing and its generally accepted beliefs, seems to have first hand experienced the abuse many right-wingers have to put up with for their views.

With Monday being 28 May, Sardesai like many others wished freedom fighter Veer Savarkar on his 135th birth anniversary:


In his tweet, Sardesai was seen heaping praises on Savarkar by calling him a patriot and a heroic figure despite being supposedly divisive. He also elucidated the treacherous conditions which Savarkar had to put up with when he was lodged at the infamous “Cellular Jail” in Andaman & Nicobar islands.

The leftist establishment which is known to be very hateful towards Savarkar (so much so that they spread blatant lies to discredit him), didn’t appreciate Sardesai’s views which supposedly resulted in him getting trolled.

A few hours after he posted his tweet, Sardesai in a sombre tone claimed how slurs like “bigot”, “chadiwallah” (which are usually reserved for the Right Wing) were hurled at him for his pro-Savarkar view. After expressing his disappointment, he also “promised” to more careful in the future:


It though remains to be seen as to what Sardesai meant by “learnt lesson, will be more careful next time”, and whether henceforth he would totally avoid expressing views which run afoul of the “leftist doctrine”.

Further, this episode might emerge as a classic example of leftist bigotry and intolerance, when individuals supposedly associated with its ideology won’t even spare the “torchbearers” of its cause, when they deviate off the ideological script.