SP-BSP to indulge in shadow boxing with Congress to divide upper caste votes? Newspaper report fuels speculations

The reason for this "split" in the mahagathbandhan, as per the report, is that after winning the neighbouring states, Congress would have bargained to fight on more seats as compared to regional powers.

A report in the Dainik Jagran has sent political observers in a tizzy with speculations. The report says that Samajwadi Party (SP) and Bahujan Samajwadi Party (BSP) have decided to not form an alliance with Congress in Uttar Pradesh for the 2019 battle, but have still kept the doors open for a post-poll alliance.

According to the report, SP and BSP have already decided their seat-sharing formula with BSP fighting on 38 seats and SP fighting on 37 seats. The report also says that some seats may be given to smaller parties like RLD which is to fight on 3 seats.

The reason for this “split” in the mahagathbandhan, as per the report, is that after winning the neighbouring states, Congress would have bargained to fight on more seats as compared to regional powers. This confirms what we had speculated earlier that none of the regional parties really want to get into an alliance with a strong Congress as Congress is largely seen as a cash cow. A strong or resurgent Congress would mean less stakes for regional powers.

- Advertisement - - Article resumes -

However, what is most telling in the entire report is the fact that SP and BSP both have announced that they won’t be fielding candidates from Gandhi bastions Amethi and Raebareli. Amethi is widely considered to currently be a Rahul Gandhi bastion and Raebareli is considered to be a Sonia Gandhi bastion.

The fact that BSP and SP won’t be fielding candidates for the two seats from which the Gandhis are fighting has confirmed the fact that this breakage of the alliance is not borne out of genuine disenchantment but caste equation compulsions.

It would seem like SP, BSP and Congress are all set to indulge in shadow boxing before the 2019 elections just to enter into a post-poll alliance after the 2019 elections.

For the BSP, the core vote bank is the Dalit faction. For SP the core vote banks are the Yadavs and Muslims. An alliance with Congress whose President, Rahul Gandhi has been sporting a janeu lately could have proven to be electorally catastrophic. The shadow boxing would perhaps serve several purposes. The BSP could consolidate their Dalit votes while SP could consolidate Muslim and Yadav votes. In the meantime, Congress, with its pseudo temple hopping could attempt to pander to the upper caste votes thereby splitting the BJP’s vote share.

Congress has been targetting the upper-caste votes rather consistently in the recent past. One recalls how Shiela Dixit, a Brahmin, was all set to become the Uttar Pradesh Chief Minister right before Congress’ alliance with Samajwadi Party and how the Congress drummed up the SC/ST Act rhetoric forcing the BJP’s hand to overturn the SC verdict. The result of this game was evident in Madhya Pradesh where the upper caste got severely disenchanted with the BJP and consolidated to some extent behind Congress.

During the Uttar Pradesh Assembly Elections the workers of Congress and SP/BSP faced several difficulties in working together since for years, the workers had fought against each other. For 2019, the three parties seem to have gotten wiser and are focussing on keeping up the pretence to join hands after the 2019 elections.

In the coming months, we can certainly expect several comments from SP supremo Akhilesh Yadav and BSP supremo Mayawati against Rahul Gandhi and Congress’ overall strategy to consolidate upper caste votes.

The following statement from Akhilesh Yadav seems to be an example of it.

Akhilesh Yadav was seen embracing Rahul Gandhi and calling him “UP ka ladka” not too long ago during the Assembly Elections of Uttar Pradesh. For him, to now trade barbs with Rahul Gandhi seems too outlandish to be true. It is probably just the beginning of such statements to ensure a credible illusion of the mahagathbandhan lying in shambles. However, as they have already stated, a post-poll alliance is on the cards and one wonders if the electorate will see through this shadow boxing.


Share and Support:
Support OpIndia by paying for content

Most read articles recently

Amethi: Here is what Rahul Gandhi did in 10 years and Smriti did in 4 years

Analysis of the development of Amethi: 10 years of Rahul Gandhi vs 4 years of Smriti Irani

If such massive nations like Dubai and Singapore can be built in 20 years then why Amethi can’t be made into a world class constituency, either by Rahul Gandhi or Smriti Irani

Pro-Congress troll Abhishek Mishra arrested for offensive posts which hurt religious sentiments

Abhishek Mishra is was arrested by Delhi Police last night from Madhya Pradesh

Edelman Trust Report 2008 vs 2014 vs 2019: Here is how the Modi govt did vs the Congress govt

In an all-important election year, the Edelman Trust Barometer Global Report signals cheer for the central government led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi

Pallavi Ghosh does a Rahul Gandhi while talking about Uri box office collection and Twitter can’t stop laughing

News18 journalist trolled for wrong box office number in her tweet.

As Priyanka Gandhi Vadra becomes the UP East incharge, here is all you need to know about her colourful history

Congress has appointed Priyanka Gandhi Vadra as the in-charge of Uttar Pradesh East. It appears to be a shrewd move by the party to get its caste equations correct in the state and cut into the Upper Caste vote bank of the BJP

The art of propaganda: The articles associating Kumbh Mela with unemployment is the latest step in a civilizational war

Business Standard recently published an article associating Kumbh Mela to unemployment
Priyanka Gandhi's entry into politics as UP East incharge seems like a parody of Indian Politics

Priyanka Gandhi’s entry into politics seems like a skit where people dress up as politicians for laughs

For at least 10 years now, journalists, academics and intellectuals have been talking about the supposed charisma, intelligence and political acumen of Priyanka Gandhi

Pliant Media jubilant on the arrival of a non-achiever dynast in the politics

The media has gone gung ho on the formal entry of Priyanka Vadra into the politics

India Today journalist caught ‘directing’ Congress workers to appear excited about Priyanka Gandhi Vadra

India Today journalist later tried to defend herself by saying they were not Congress workers but the 'people of Prayagraj' and she was not feeding them words but was telling them what Rahul Gandhi had to say about it

Latest articles

Connect with us

129,003FansLike
105,152FollowersFollow
14,510SubscribersSubscribe

Don't miss these