Why AAP lost the Rajouri Garden by-poll

There is a quote in Hindi that appears very apt for today, it goes:

“Kaath ki haandi baar baar nahi chadhti”

It roughly means that a person can be fooled once but not always.

In the 2015 Assembly Elections for Delhi, AAP was given an overwhelming majority based on their many promises, some being: free WiFi, enhanced security (special teams) for women, free water, installing 15 lakh CCTV cameras, 8 lakh new jobs, and cheaper electricity bills. There were many hopes and expectations from the party which had been selling ”Alternative Politics” to the Indian voter.

- Advertisement - - Article resumes -

While there is no doubt that AAP has managed to provide free water (under a certain threshold) and has continued its electricity subsidy, all other promises have fallen flat. Another possibly emotional promise that AAP had made was about Kejriwal not leaving Delhi like he did last time to go on to fight the Lok Sabha elections from Varanasi. That too was not honored by the party as the Delhiites saw Kejriwal hopping from one state to another to campaign for various state elections, while leaving governance in the hands of a less popular Manish Sisodia.

Rajouri Garden seat is a blend of both upscale posh localities and slums. The vote share roughly splits like, Punjabis and Sikhs comprise 50% of the voters and more than 15% belong to the Gujjar community. They by-polls were required after the sitting AAP MLA Jarnail Singh resigned to fight assembly elections in Punjab (which he eventually lost).

While the BJP-SAD combine fielded a Sikh candidate and a popular face in Majinder Singh Sirsa, Congress fielded a Gujjar Candidate named Meenakshi Chandela. AAP too decided to field a Sikh candidate in Harjeet Singh. The seat went to polls on 9th April with a 46.48% voter turnout and votes were counted today.

So considering all the above factors, what conclusions we can draw from the results?

BJP won the seat comfortably by polling 40,602 votes and bagged 52% vote share. The Congress came 2nd with 25,950 votes and 33.2% vote share. Unlike 2015, Congress gave a good fight, maybe thanks to its Gujjar candidate, and maybe due to absence of any tactical voting to AAP by its supporters that is supposed to have happened in last elections. AAP, which in 2015 had won the seat with 54,916 votes came a disappointing 3rd.

This time, AAP just bagged 10,243 votes or just 13.1% vote share. What makes it worse for AAP is the fact that going by the Election Commission’s rules it has lost its deposit in the seat as it failed to poll more than 1/6th of the total votes polled.

The Rajouri Garden by-poll reaffirms the perception that BJP is retaining its vote share in Delhi, Congress has regained its lost ground, while the Aam Aadmi party has lost the popular support it enjoyed in 2015.

Also there might not be a lot of scope for Kejriwal to cry EVM fraud as in this election the EVMs contained the additional facility of the VVPAT, which would have helped voters in verifying if votes were indeed getting registered correctly. No complaint of wrong vote being registered was lodged during the polling.

This election held so close to the upcoming MCD elections might signal the times to come in Delhi politics. For a party that had polled about 47% of the votes in 2015, getting reduced to 13% doesn’t show a shining future. This might prompt the AAP to increase its campaign efforts and maybe also prompt it to make further desperate promises like their property tax waiver one. Though for the Congress and the BJP (who now have 4 MLAs in the assembly), the results might be a huge shot in the arm.

The MCD results will be declared on 26th April exactly 13 days later. And going by today’s result this number 13 might really prove to be a bad omen for the Aam Aadmi Party.


Share This Post and Support:
We need your support to survive in the media industry. Please consider paying us for the content we produce:

To know more about these payments, please click here.


Most read articles recently

AAP Candidate for Gautam Budh Nagar disqualified

AAP candidate for Gautam Buddh Nagar disqualified for failing to arrange 10 persons to back her nomination

As the AAP is not recognised as a national party by the EC, their candidate has to arrange a minimum of 10 people as proposers at the Returning Officer's office to back her nomination.
Tejaswi Surya attacked for Ayudha Puja

Congress IT cell attacks BJP’s Bangalore South candidate for performing Ayudha Puje as per Hindu rituals

Ayudha Puje is one of the widely celebrated festivals in India which falls during the Navratri

NC Lok Sabha candidate Akbar Lone begins a rally with ‘Pakistan Zindabad’, says will abuse anyone who abuses Pakistan

Akbar Lone, NC Lok Sabha candidate for Baramulla, said that the country across is a Muslim country and abusing Pakistan would mean he is abusing himself

Congress-friendly journalist tries to shield Dynasty, but Rahul Gandhi spoils the party by pulling a Rahul

Even though journalist Pallavi Ghosh sends out feelers to Congress President, he goes ahead and does completely the opposite.
Owner of AAP propaganda blog agitated when Sushma Swaraj stands up for two underage Hindu girls

AAP propaganda site owner gets angry after India expresses concerns over atrocities against Hindus in Pakistan

Sushma Swaraj's move to seek details of the Incident had agitated quite a few people in Pakistan, including their Information and Broadcasting minister Ch Fawad Hussain, who saw it as an intervention in Pakistan's internal matters.

Facebook arbitrarily suspends account of activist Anshul Saxena, fails to restore account despite no wrongdoing

The social media giant, Facebook, has allegedly resorted to arbitrarily suspending the account of social media user Anshul Saxena

Rahul Gandhi’s Minimum Income Guarantee could kill all other subsidies and be the mother of all scams

Remember, India’s worst-case scenario is also the Dynasty’s best case scenario.

Actor R Madhavan offers support to PM Modi to urge voters to cast votes in elections, gets trolled by ‘liberals’

Because of their sheer bitterness for Modi, these cynics are in no mood to spare anyone who comes out in support of Modi

Where is the money? Rahul Gandhi’s promise is going to cost a whopping Rs 3.60 lakh crore a year, 13% of union budget

Minimum Income Guarantee Scheme of Congress party ensures monthly income of Rs 12,000 for 20% of India's population
Malala has maintained a conspicuous silence over atrocities on Hindu girls in her country

Nobel Peace Prize winner Malala’s silence on abduction and forceful conversion of two Hindu girls is deafening

Malala, who often preaches the world about feminist adventures and jumps in to display her intellect over human rights issues especially against women across the world seems to have not found her voice to condemn the bigotry of Pakistanis as she could face severe backlash within her own country.

Latest articles

Connect with us

149,375FansLike
120,908FollowersFollow
31,585SubscribersSubscribe

Don't miss these


Share This Post and Support: