Saturday, July 11, 2020
Home News Reports "First Day First Show": Did Odd-Even work? and how Media played its part

“First Day First Show”: Did Odd-Even work? and how Media played its part

Also Read

Gauravhttp://bwoyblunder.co.in/
co-founder, OpIndia.com

Call it a novel idea, call it “Tughlaq-esque”, Delhi’s Odd-Even plan caught the eye of many in India and most on social media. One of the reasons for this could be our Delhi based media’s infatuation with the Delhi state Government which often leads it to conflate stories which are important to Delhi, with stories which matter for India as a whole. Add to that Arvind Kejriwal’s penchant for making a media spectacle out of anything he does (based on advice from his Guru Rajdeep Sardesai) and you have a sure shot prime-time debate topic.

So did this Odd-Even experiment work based on Day 1 results? Is it even fair to judge something based on the results of the 1st day? Lets get to the 2nd question later. First see how our media reported it:

As many on Twitter pointed out, “First Day, First Show” was the preferred phrase for what could have been synchronized tweeting by some of our top journalists, just as the experiment began.

ba rahul raj

The reports became fuzzier as the day went by, with some journalists like Vishnu Som from NDTV determined to prove Odd-Even worked against all “odds”. This even while his own channel NDTV was simultaneously running a story which said Air quality had shown no marked change and was still poor. Amusingly, Som’s claims and NDTV’s reports, both claimed to be based on the same SAFAR report. A report in India-Today cited multiple studies and data sources showing that Odd-Even plan may not have worked on Day 1.

Times of India too was running a similar story saying air quality had not really improved. But, come morning, Times of India’s data had changed drastically and splashed across its print edition was this news that claimed Odd-Even worked. To back this claim, Times of India chose to compare pollution levels on 31st December 2015 with 1st January 2016:

The basic fallacy among all the reports above, whether positive or negative was their premature jumping to conclusions, based on data of only 1 day. Even this day is a very bad sample to be taken to judge the efficacy of the plan. Consider this: 1st January is a holiday for a large number of establishments by virtue of being the 1st day of the year. It marked the start of a long weekend owing to which it is natural to expect a large number of city dwellers to head out of the city. Can an outlier of a day be used to judge an experiment? This is something which is taught at the most basic level of statistical sampling. Even worse, can just 1 day be taken into account to make any sort of claim?

The next big brain-fade is comparing the data of 1st January, with the data on 31st December, like Times of India did. It is unbelievably stupid to compare a holiday with a day which sees traffic snarls. But then logic and common sense have never been the forte of Times of India.

A larger point here is, is it even fair to expect any change in 1 day? Air pollution is not something which can be wished away in a day. It takes sustained efforts over a long period to show credible results. And Delhi is not an insulated pocket which is not affected by surrounding areas. While areas in the NCR region like Noida continue with their usual pollution levels, is it fair to expect Delhi to remain completely unaffected? In the world of quick-fixes and desire for even quicker results such nuances and realities are all but lost.

Coming to the actual Odd-Even plan as it stands, can any finding from this 15 day period be credible? Schools have been asked to shut down, thus artificially reducing traffic which would have been there on any normal day. The results of an experiment are credible only when all other things are kept constant (ceteris paribus) and only the change, here the plan of odd-even cars, is implemented.

Add to this the number of exemptions given, the plan loses most of its teeth. A report suggests after all exemptions are taken car of, the odd-even plan would affect only 6% of of cars. For all the brouhaha if a meagre 6% is what the best case scenario is, then the plan needs serious rethinking. Besides the sheer number, even the type of exemptions are questionable. Take for example the exemption given to two-wheelers. Multiple studies show motorcycles pollute way more, from 10 to 16 times worse than cars. And we have elected legislators of AAP itself “setting an example” by riding motorcycles to work:

At this stage the questions are many. Can day 1 data be used to claim a victory or defeat? With inbuilt aberrations in test conditions, will even 15-day data be helpful? Data aside, are the technicalities in the plan defeating the very purpose of the plan?

Some people have also begun branding anyone opposed to the Odd-Even plan as Anti-Delhiite or Pro-Pollution. A comparison is made to the Swacch Bharat Abhiyaan run by the Central Government and how the opposers of that move were  branded anti-Nationals. Here, a fundamental flaw in comparison arises since the 2 are frankly completely different.

Swacch Bharat is an aim, a mission, a target. The means to achieve this target are measures like photo-ops by celebrities, nominations of influencers to take up the task, awareness about cleanliness, Swacch Bharat Cess, focus on building toilets, launch of Air Quality Index etc. Similarly, in Delhi, Clean Air is the mission and Odd-Even plan is just a means of achieving this plan. In case of Swacch Bharat, we saw numerous people trashing the measures such as photo-ops etc. Similarly, this time many people are voicing concerns over the Odd-Even plan because they feel it is not practical. Surely everybody wants a cleaner India and cleaner air, the disagreement is only on the methods.

q

Having said all of the above, the AAP Government deserves kudos for deciding to actually do something, and backing it fully. Sure, this action was prompted by a rap from the Supreme Court but the Government did act. The common refrain of “at least he is doing something” holds good here because we really haven’t seen any Government in India take up the cause of air pollution with such aggression, however foolhardy one might consider the actual methods.

  Support Us  

Whether NDTV or 'The Wire', they never have to worry about funds. In name of saving democracy, they get money from various sources. We need your support to fight them. Please contribute whatever you can afford

Gauravhttp://bwoyblunder.co.in/
co-founder, OpIndia.com

Trending now

The spin around Vikas Dubey encounter reminds about the police-raid against Mohammad Shahabuddin in Siwan

While people are saying “dead men tell no story” after Vikas Dubey encounter, Md Shahabuddin narrated no tales even after jailed for years

When Rajnath Singh fought for the country but lost an election

Today is the birthday of Defense Minister Rajnath Singh. And let me tell you a story about the time Rajnath Singh lost from Mohana Assembly constituency in the 1993 elections to the Uttar Pradesh Assembly.

Delhi anti-Hindu riots: Sahil’s father Parvez died in 3 different ways, in 2 different locations, 16 Hindus named in the FIR

Sahil Parvez had stated that his father was shot in front of their house in his statement to the media. His complaint letter to the police several weeks later suddenly shifts the location, identifies 16 'attackers' by name and makes a lot of contradictory claims, read details.

The Wire issues half-hearted correction after being called out by NCPCR for their blatantly fake news about ‘eight-fold increase in complaints post lockdown

The Wire retracted it after the author of the article said that she had no evidence to support her stunning claim.

The Wire accused Yogi Adityanath of being ‘casteist’ for not killing Vikas Dubey hours before the encounter of the gangster

Notorious gangster, Vikas Dubey, who was arrested from Ujjain, Madhya Pradesh was killed in an encounter in the wee hours of the morning on Friday

Vikas Dubey killed in an encounter after he attempts to flee from police custody: Here is what happened

The encounter broke out between Vikas Dubey and the Uttar Pradesh Special Task Force (STF) after the gangster tried to flee upon reaching Kanpur.

Recently Popular

The curious case of ‘Drone Boy’ who has made 600 drones using broken mixer grinders and televisions. A fact-check

While 'drone boy' Prathap NM has claimed to have made 600 drones using e-waste, not a single photo or video of them exist

Netizens ask Netflix to cancel comedian Kenny Sebastian’s special show after he hurls obscene abuses

Social media users are demanding that Netflix reconsiders special show of Indian comic Kenny Sebastian after he was allegedly found hurling obscene abuses to people on his Instagram page.

Jyoti Basu is the mass murderer India forgot

Please don’t feel bad about speaking ill of the Late Jyoti Basu. If there is another world, be certain that there are (at least) 28,000 voices from the other side backing you up.

Only Muslims go to heaven, Ravish Kumar-like non-Muslims can only hope for a mild level of hell: Dr Zakir Naik explains

Naik said that virtues like honesty and charity cannot ensure qualifying marks for heaven or Jannah. Only Muslims can go to heaven and non-Muslims will go to hell by default, he says.

After obscene comments, clip of comedian Kenneth Sebastian calling Sanskrit ‘most useless language ever’ goes viral. Watch video

In the video titled "Journey to the centre of my brain", Sebastian is seen thanking God because 'all the people who spoke Sanskrit are dead'.

The Wire accused Yogi Adityanath of being ‘casteist’ for not killing Vikas Dubey hours before the encounter of the gangster

Notorious gangster, Vikas Dubey, who was arrested from Ujjain, Madhya Pradesh was killed in an encounter in the wee hours of the morning on Friday

The spin around Vikas Dubey encounter reminds about the police-raid against Mohammad Shahabuddin in Siwan

While people are saying “dead men tell no story” after Vikas Dubey encounter, Md Shahabuddin narrated no tales even after jailed for years

“I feel free after ages. This is an end to the era of terror”, says Lallan Vajpayee who was on the hit-list of slain...

Vikas Dubey had multiple attempts to kill Lallan Vajpayee in the party, Vajpayee celebrates the death of Dubey in Police encounter

Journalist shares image of a Pakistani cannibal who ate a baby as ‘RAW agent captured in Nepal’

The photo of a RAW agent supposedly arrested in Nepal is actually photo of a Pakistani cannibal who was convicted of eating children

NIA names 6 ISIS terrorists in the charge-sheet filed in the murder case of Tamil Nadu cop SSI Wilson

6 terrorists charge sheeted by NIA in the case of murder of SSI Wilson in January 2020 in Tamil Nadu

Chinese app ban: Govt sends 70 questions to concerned firms, gives 3 weeks to respond

The response of the firms will be evaluated by a high-level panel and any discrepency may lead to a permeant ban.

Watch: Nellore Municipal Corporation uses earth-mover to dispose of COVID-19 bodies, investigation ordered

In a shocking apathy, officials of Nellore municipal corporation are seen dumping the bodies of coronavirus patients using an earth mover

Irony: Priyanka Gandhi accuses Yogi govt of shielding criminals like Vikas Dubey on the same day he was killed in encounter by UP police

On a day criminal Vikash Dubey was killed in an encounter by UP police, Priyanka Gandhi slams Yogi govt for shielding criminals like Dubey

‘I will not go to attend his last rites: Says deceased gangster Vikas Dubey’s father Ram Kumar Dubey

Vikas Dubey's father stated that the family has disowned him and they will not part-take in his last rites.

History-sheeter Mohammad Akhtar arrested in Madhya Pradesh after he fled from Uttar Pradesh following recent police encounters

Akhtar had escaped from UP to MP fearing for his life, after seeing that several members of Vikash Dubey's gang were killed in police encounter

Connect with us

235,407FansLike
402,990FollowersFollow
272,000SubscribersSubscribe