Thursday, January 21, 2021
Home News Reports Coronavirus: ICMR study finds that social distancing can reduce cases up to 62%, one...

Coronavirus: ICMR study finds that social distancing can reduce cases up to 62%, one Indian capable of infecting 4 others

Earlier, the ICMR had released a revised strategy to battle the spread of the contagion that has paralysed many countries across the world. All the asymptomatic individuals who had undertaken international travel in the last 14 days were mandated to stay home quarantine for 14 days.

In a study conducted by the Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR), it has been found that cases of Wuhan Coronavirus can be reduced as much as 62%, provided people strictly adhere to the guidelines of quarantine and social distancing. The paper titled, “Prudent public health intervention strategies to control the coronavirus disease 2019 transmission in India: A mathematical model-based approach” was written in February 2020, before the COVID-19 had turned into a pandemic.

The study said, “Strictly implemented social distancing measures such as home quarantine of symptomatic (those showing symptoms) and suspected cases will reduce the overall expected number of Covid-19 cases by 62 per cent (in India), thus flattening the curve and providing more opportunities for interventions.”

The authors of the paper used an epidemiological characteristic, also known as the reproduction number (R0), to find the pace at which infection can spread in a given population. A value above 2 implies that the infection is difficult to contain without strict measures. It was found that an infected Indian can at best affect 1.5 people and at worst infect 4 other people.

The study was done in February when the numbers were not very high; our aim was not to look at how many cases would occur but what methods would work. And lockdown and thermal screening works are what our study shows,” Dr Raman Gangakhedkar, the Epidemiology Head at ICMR, was quoted as saying.

The paper also found that the coronavirus “epidemic” in India was inevitable and effective airport screening would have delayed India’s first 1,000 cases by 45 days at the maximum. The authors noted, “Our results suggest that it may be possible to interrupt the transmission of COVID-19 in India, but only in the most optimistic scenarios… symptomatic quarantine can still achieve meaningful reductions in peak prevalence… However, such measures would have very little effect on the overall epidemic size. The actual numerical impact will be highly sensitive to the natural history of COVID-19, the parameters for which are very uncertain at present.”

Earlier, the ICMR had released a revised strategy to battle the spread of the contagion that has paralysed many countries across the world. All the asymptomatic individuals who had undertaken international travel in the last 14 days were mandated to stay home quarantine for 14 days. The new strategy includes testing of all symptomatic contacts of laboratory-confirmed cases as well as of symptomatic health-care workers. All hospitalised patients with Severe Acute Respiratory Illnesses, including cough and fever and/or shortness of breath, will be tested for the contagion.

  Support Us  

Whether NDTV or 'The Wire', they never have to worry about funds. In name of saving democracy, they get money from various sources. We need your support to fight them. Please contribute whatever you can afford

OpIndia Staffhttps://www.opindia.com
Staff reporter at OpIndia

 

Related Articles

Trending now

Protesting farmer unions reject union government’s proposal to suspend implementation of farm laws for 1-1.5 years

The decision was taken in a meeting of the protesting farmer unions today, saying that they only want the repeal of the laws.

Indian Express spreads fake news claiming there were internal objections to Adani Group winning all 6 airports: Read the facts

The civil aviation ministry said that same allegations made in the Indian Express report were already dismissed by Kerala High Court

5 persons dead at Serum Institute of India fire incident, efforts on to control damage

Reports have stated that the fire incident happened at an under construction building and vaccine facilities are safe.

Two suicide bombers detonate themselves in busy Baghdad market killing six, injuring dozens

As per reports, this was one of the rare suicide attacks in Central Baghdad.

Bernie Sanders and his mittens during Biden inauguration trigger a meme fest on social media. Details

The US Senator from Vermont was spotted at the venue wearing parka and a pair of very homely looking mittens at the high profile event.

After multiple FIRs against ‘Tandav’, makers of another Amazon Prime web series ‘Mirzapur’ in trouble, SC issues notice

The SC notice was issued following a petition complaining about UP's Mirzapur being portrayed in a bad light in the web series

Recently Popular

Arnab vs Navika: Arnab responds to Navika’s emotional monologue, says he carried his shoes with him

Recently, Navika Kumar said that when Arnab left Time Now, she had his shoes to fill. However, Arnab gives a befitting reply.

The hidden chats in the TRP Chargesheet that nobody is talking about, not even the police: India Today and BARC

In the TRP case chargesheet, pages of personal chats between Arnab Goswami and the ex-BARC CEO Partho Dasgupta have been added

‘Jack Ma is safe and sound’, is ‘laying low’ claims founder and chairman of equity firm Primavera Capital Group

Days after his unflattering opinion of the Chinese authorities, Alibaba founder Jack Ma went mysteriously missing

“Not forgetting this communication until death”: Chef turned filmmaker Vikas Khanna reveals how he was asked to pay for favourable reviews of his movie

Vikas Khanna stated that critics had asked him to pay 3 lacs for 3 star-rating and 4 lacks for 4 star-rating of his movie 'The Last Colour'

Has China constructed a new village inside Arunachal Pradesh? Not quite: How NDTV misled with its ‘exclusive’ report

Report China building a village inside Arunachal Pradesh was bought out by NDTV yesterday - and it turned out to be fake news

Pakistan ‘successfully’ test-fires missile injuring people, destroying houses in civil area, say Baloch leaders

Contrary to claims of Pakistani Army's successful tests of Shaheen-III Missile, several reports coming from Pakistan suggests that the test carried out by Pakistan was a massive failure as the missile landed in a civilian area in Balochistan destroying several houses and injuring civilians
- Advertisement -

 

Protesting farmer unions reject union government’s proposal to suspend implementation of farm laws for 1-1.5 years

The decision was taken in a meeting of the protesting farmer unions today, saying that they only want the repeal of the laws.

Farm Laws 2020: The need of the hour is balanced liberalization, to move beyond rigid ideologies

A balanced liberalization, based on the triad of truth, efficiency and compassion, may find a better tomorrow

Indian Express spreads fake news claiming there were internal objections to Adani Group winning all 6 airports: Read the facts

The civil aviation ministry said that same allegations made in the Indian Express report were already dismissed by Kerala High Court

Uddhav stirs up Belagavi issue, Shiv Sena activists stopped by police from removing Karnataka flag. Details

Police Commissioner said that Shiv Sena leader Vijay Dhavane had plans of delivering a provocative speech at Belagavi.

5 persons dead at Serum Institute of India fire incident, efforts on to control damage

Reports have stated that the fire incident happened at an under construction building and vaccine facilities are safe.

Two suicide bombers detonate themselves in busy Baghdad market killing six, injuring dozens

As per reports, this was one of the rare suicide attacks in Central Baghdad.

Bernie Sanders and his mittens during Biden inauguration trigger a meme fest on social media. Details

The US Senator from Vermont was spotted at the venue wearing parka and a pair of very homely looking mittens at the high profile event.

After multiple FIRs against ‘Tandav’, makers of another Amazon Prime web series ‘Mirzapur’ in trouble, SC issues notice

The SC notice was issued following a petition complaining about UP's Mirzapur being portrayed in a bad light in the web series

Alarming disinformation campaign by China spotted across media platforms against its vaccine’s criticism

From sensational headlines to misleading reports and insinuations, China is now playing the dangerous game to spread disinformation on its coronavirus vaccines.

10 months after lockdown started, Lakshadweep reports the first coronavirus case. Details

The first Covid-19 case in Lakshadweep was reported just a few days after the UT revised its Standard Operating Procedures

Connect with us

245,563FansLike
496,912FollowersFollow
22,800SubscribersSubscribe