Why a BJP-JD(S) combine is in the best interest of both parties

The Karnataka election results are still pouring in but the direction is clear. Congress has lost, BJP has won, and JD(S) has seemingly exceeded expectations. The numbers are yet to be frozen, as counting is still on and there many seats with slender margins, giving a continuous slight fluctuation in the figures. This fluctuation matters because BJP s within touching distance of achieving a simple majority by gaining 112 seats. And as a corollary so is a possible combination of Congress + JD(S).

But whatever might be the final outcome, i.e. even if BJP is large enough to form a government in Karnataka in its own, it would be in the best interest of both BJP and JD(S) to come together.

Reasons for the BJP:

- Advertisement - - Article resumes -

1. Set the stage for 2019

One of the worries amongst BJP fan base is that while the BJP is losing allies (like TDP), the opposition is looking to weave a mahagathbandhan to beat BJP in 2019 Lok Sabha polls. As vote shares indicate, if a simple transfer of votes is achieved by a combined opposition, BJP could find it hard to come back to power in the centre.

To break the chances of such a rainbow coalition, BJP must ally itself with as many small regional parties as possible. JD(S) is just one of them. If BJP allies with JD(S) at the state, it would ensure a national coalition as well and prevent a string non-BJP front emerging in Karnataka. In fact, a BJP+JD(S) tie-up could sweep Karnataka in 2019

2. Message to other former allies

If BJP manages to pull JD(S), the price tag on some former allies and some future potential allies reduces. The likes of TDP can be told unequivocally that the BJP does not need to depend on only a small set of allies and is widening its outreach to others as well.

3. Congress out of picture, morale boost

With JD(S) in the saddle, BJP can be sure that there is no large Congress Government in the country. Punjab would remain the only mid-size state for Congress. The Congress coffers would then be choked heavily, leaving it gasping for funds in 2019. It would also be a huge morale boost for national cadre, that the BJP has “saffronized” another state, albeit with some help.

Reasons for the JD(S)

1. Usurping the Congress space

While the Congress may (and reportedly has) offered JD(S) the post of Chief Minister in a potential coalition, the JD(S) should realise that the Congress is the natural enemy of the JD(S) in Karnataka. Both parties try to occupy the same space. Thus, it would be a better long-term bet for JD(S) to be in power with the BJP, and try to use the next five years to finish the Congress in Karnataka, both politically and financially. Then JD(S) can dream of emerging as the sole serious opposition in 2023 to the BJP.

2. Keeping the verdict in mind

The JD(S) would do well to learn from the exploits of local parties in Goa, who went against the mandate, and allied with BJP even when they had got lesser seats than Congress. This move has reportedly angered voters and the local parties are losing favour. If JD(S) chooses Congress it may face a similar fate. An alliance with BJP though would have the opposite effect

3. Gain from the state-central synergy

The BJP-JD(S) Government in Karnataka would be able to enjoy (although for barely a year), the benefit of being on the right side of the central government. Modi too would be keen to pump in maximum resources in 1 year in Karnataka to tilt the scales of 2019. The JD(S) can then benefit from this and ensure that their constituencies are developed and their MLAs who have been “hungry” for a decade, are “well-fed”

4. National gains

If the JD(S) carries its alliance into 2019 Lok Sabha polls, and if the BJP wins (which is more likely than a Congress win as of now), it is sure to be rewarded with some Central ministries as well.

All in all, it would make sense for both BJP and JD(S) to ally, irrespective of the actual numbers. Who knows, Amit Shah and the JD(S) supremos may have already discussed this. Only time will tell how this plays out.


Share This Post and Support:
We need your support to survive in the media industry. Please consider paying us for the content we produce:

To know more about these payments, please click here.


Most read articles recently

AM Sheikh Dawood promised of offering 10 litres of free liquor monthly to the families in his constituency on his victory

Independent candidate from Tamil Nadu promises 10 litres of free liquor every month on winning elections

An independent candidate from Tamil Nadu has come up with a strange promise of offering 10 litres of free liquor every month to every family in his constituency

Nitin Gadkari at the receiving end: Is there a pattern?

Indian Express has a massive interview of Union Minister Nitin Gadkari in its March 23, 2019 edition.

Shunned by the BJP, jilted Shatrughan Sinha goes on a rampage against the party, rumoured to join Congress

Shatrughan Sinha was visibly irked and had a Twitter meltdown after the BJP declared Ravi Shankar Prasad's candidature from Patna Sahib constituency

Rahul Gandhi’s lucrative and seemingly clandestine means of income and his links to scam accused FTIL, Unitech

How does Rahul Gandhi earn to buy land and other properties? A mystery we try to unravel

NC Lok Sabha candidate Akbar Lone begins a rally with ‘Pakistan Zindabad’, says will abuse anyone who abuses Pakistan

Akbar Lone, NC Lok Sabha candidate for Baramulla, said that the country across is a Muslim country and abusing Pakistan would mean he is abusing himself
Owner of AAP propaganda blog agitated when Sushma Swaraj stands up for two underage Hindu girls

AAP propaganda site owner gets angry after India expresses concerns over atrocities against Hindus in Pakistan

Sushma Swaraj's move to seek details of the Incident had agitated quite a few people in Pakistan, including their Information and Broadcasting minister Ch Fawad Hussain, who saw it as an intervention in Pakistan's internal matters.

Where is the money? Rahul Gandhi’s promise is going to cost a whopping Rs 3.60 lakh crore a year, 13% of union budget

Minimum Income Guarantee Scheme of Congress party ensures monthly income of Rs 12,000 for 20% of India's population
'Rahul Gandhi is running away from Amethi, not me': Smriti Irani on rumours BJP might field her from Wayanad

‘Rahul Gandhi is running away from Amethi, not me’: Smriti Irani on rumours BJP might field her from Wayanad

Smriti Irani rubbishes rumours that have surfaced about BJP thinking about fielding Smriti Irani from the Wayanad constituency too, to counter Rahul Gandhi. 

Actor R Madhavan offers support to PM Modi to urge voters to cast votes in elections, gets trolled by ‘liberals’

Because of their sheer bitterness for Modi, these cynics are in no mood to spare anyone who comes out in support of Modi
Sapna Chaudhary denies rumours of her joining Congress

Embarrassment for Congress: Sapna Chowdhury says she never joined Congress, picture with Priyanka Gandhi old

Denying rumours, Sapna Chaudhary said that the photos in circulation on Internet were old

Latest articles

Connect with us

149,143FansLike
120,708FollowersFollow
31,500SubscribersSubscribe

Don't miss these


Share This Post and Support: